Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-423-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-423-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
Research article
 | 
01 Dec 2014
Research article |  | 01 Dec 2014

Continued increase in atmospheric CO2 seasonal amplitude in the 21st century projected by the CMIP5 Earth system models

F. Zhao and N. Zeng

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Short summary
This paper presents the CMIP5 model predictions on the seasonal characteristics of global carbon cycle. We show a model consensus that the amplitude of this seasonal cycle will increase in the future under the RCP8.5 emission scenario. This is mostly due to enhanced ecosystem productivity in high latitude regions. While the models' ensemble CO2 amplitude increase is close to observation, our results suggest the underlying mechanisms may not be realistic.
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