Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-423-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-423-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Dec 2014
Research article |
| 01 Dec 2014
Continued increase in atmospheric CO2 seasonal amplitude in the 21st century projected by the CMIP5 Earth system models
F. Zhao
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, USA
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, USA
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, USA
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Cited
29 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantifying spatially and temporally explicit CO2 fertilization effects on global terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics S. Liu et al. 10.1002/ecs2.1391
- Informing climate models with rapid chamber measurements of forest carbon uptake D. Metcalfe et al. 10.1111/gcb.13451
- Anthropic-Induced Variability of Greenhouse Gasses and Aerosols at the WMO/GAW Coastal Site of Lamezia Terme (Calabria, Southern Italy): Towards a New Method to Assess the Weekly Distribution of Gathered Data F. D’Amico et al. 10.3390/su16188175
- Soil Respiration Phenology Improves Modeled Phase of Terrestrial net Ecosystem Exchange in Northern Hemisphere K. Endsley et al. 10.1029/2021MS002804
- Atmosphere self-cleaning under humidity conditions and influence of the snowflakes and artificial light interaction for water dissociation simulated by the means of COMSOL A. Cocean et al. 10.1016/j.apsusc.2018.02.156
- Investigation of seasonal variability of atmospheric columnar CO2 over India in relation to environmental parameters using OCO-2 observation and vertical redistribution model B. Raychaudhuri & S. Roy 10.1080/01431161.2020.1832281
- Multi-decadal atmospheric carbon dioxide measurements in Hungary, central Europe L. Haszpra 10.5194/amt-17-4629-2024
- Role of CO<sub>2</sub>, climate and land use in regulating the seasonal amplitude increase of carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems: a multimodel analysis F. Zhao et al. 10.5194/bg-13-5121-2016
- Projecting the CO2 and Climatic Change Effects on the Net Primary Productivity of the Urban Ecosystems in Phoenix, AZ in the 21st Century under Multiple RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) Scenarios C. Chen & C. Zhang 10.3390/su9081366
- Changes in timing of seasonal peak photosynthetic activity in northern ecosystems T. Park et al. 10.1111/gcb.14638
- Constraining Uncertainty in Projected Gross Primary Production With Machine Learning M. Schlund et al. 10.1029/2019JG005619
- Changes in interannual climate sensitivities of terrestrial carbon fluxes during the 21st century predicted by CMIP5 Earth System Models Y. Liu et al. 10.1002/2015JG003124
- Earth system models underestimate carbon fixation by plants in the high latitudes A. Winkler et al. 10.1038/s41467-019-08633-z
- Intercomparison of Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes and Carbon Use Efficiency Simulated by CMIP5 Earth System Models D. Kim et al. 10.1007/s13143-017-0066-8
- Determination of the Sun‐Climate Relationship Using Empirical Mathematical Models for Climate Data Sets G. Orssengo 10.1029/2019EA001015
- Intercomparison of global terrestrial carbon fluxes estimated by MODIS and Earth system models Q. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152231
- Study of Physico-Chemical Characteristics of Some Major Urban Air Pollutants S. Garofalide et al. 10.1088/1757-899X/877/1/012049
- CO<sub>2</sub> surface variability: from the stratosphere or not? M. Prather 10.5194/esd-13-703-2022
- Temporal Dynamics of Canopy Properties and Carbon and Water Fluxes in a Temperate Evergreen Angiosperm Forest A. Renchon et al. 10.3390/f15050801
- Addressing biases in Arctic–boreal carbon cycling in the Community Land Model Version 5 L. Birch et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3361-2021
- The impact of uniform and nonuniform CO2 concentrations on global climatic change Y. Wang et al. 10.1007/s00704-019-02924-7
- Projected land photosynthesis constrained by changes in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2 S. Wenzel et al. 10.1038/nature19772
- Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection Y. Liu et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1
- Continuous and high-precision atmospheric concentration measurements of COS, CO<sub>2</sub>, CO and H<sub>2</sub>O using a quantum cascade laser spectrometer (QCLS) L. Kooijmans et al. 10.5194/amt-9-5293-2016
- Photosynthetic productivity and its efficiencies in ISIMIP2a biome models: benchmarking for impact assessment studies A. Ito et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a19
- Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO<sub>2</sub> exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models A. Ito et al. 10.3402/tellusb.v68.28968
- The Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) and in situ CO2 data suggest a larger seasonal amplitude of the terrestrial carbon cycle compared to many dynamic global vegetation models R. Lei et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114326
- A review of four decades of atmospheric trace gas measurements at Cape Point, South Africa C. Labuschagne et al. 10.1080/0035919X.2018.1477854
- Differences in carbon cycle and temperature projections from emission- and concentration-driven earth system model simulations P. Shao et al. 10.5194/esdd-5-991-2014
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantifying spatially and temporally explicit CO2 fertilization effects on global terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics S. Liu et al. 10.1002/ecs2.1391
- Informing climate models with rapid chamber measurements of forest carbon uptake D. Metcalfe et al. 10.1111/gcb.13451
- Anthropic-Induced Variability of Greenhouse Gasses and Aerosols at the WMO/GAW Coastal Site of Lamezia Terme (Calabria, Southern Italy): Towards a New Method to Assess the Weekly Distribution of Gathered Data F. D’Amico et al. 10.3390/su16188175
- Soil Respiration Phenology Improves Modeled Phase of Terrestrial net Ecosystem Exchange in Northern Hemisphere K. Endsley et al. 10.1029/2021MS002804
- Atmosphere self-cleaning under humidity conditions and influence of the snowflakes and artificial light interaction for water dissociation simulated by the means of COMSOL A. Cocean et al. 10.1016/j.apsusc.2018.02.156
- Investigation of seasonal variability of atmospheric columnar CO2 over India in relation to environmental parameters using OCO-2 observation and vertical redistribution model B. Raychaudhuri & S. Roy 10.1080/01431161.2020.1832281
- Multi-decadal atmospheric carbon dioxide measurements in Hungary, central Europe L. Haszpra 10.5194/amt-17-4629-2024
- Role of CO<sub>2</sub>, climate and land use in regulating the seasonal amplitude increase of carbon fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems: a multimodel analysis F. Zhao et al. 10.5194/bg-13-5121-2016
- Projecting the CO2 and Climatic Change Effects on the Net Primary Productivity of the Urban Ecosystems in Phoenix, AZ in the 21st Century under Multiple RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) Scenarios C. Chen & C. Zhang 10.3390/su9081366
- Changes in timing of seasonal peak photosynthetic activity in northern ecosystems T. Park et al. 10.1111/gcb.14638
- Constraining Uncertainty in Projected Gross Primary Production With Machine Learning M. Schlund et al. 10.1029/2019JG005619
- Changes in interannual climate sensitivities of terrestrial carbon fluxes during the 21st century predicted by CMIP5 Earth System Models Y. Liu et al. 10.1002/2015JG003124
- Earth system models underestimate carbon fixation by plants in the high latitudes A. Winkler et al. 10.1038/s41467-019-08633-z
- Intercomparison of Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes and Carbon Use Efficiency Simulated by CMIP5 Earth System Models D. Kim et al. 10.1007/s13143-017-0066-8
- Determination of the Sun‐Climate Relationship Using Empirical Mathematical Models for Climate Data Sets G. Orssengo 10.1029/2019EA001015
- Intercomparison of global terrestrial carbon fluxes estimated by MODIS and Earth system models Q. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152231
- Study of Physico-Chemical Characteristics of Some Major Urban Air Pollutants S. Garofalide et al. 10.1088/1757-899X/877/1/012049
- CO<sub>2</sub> surface variability: from the stratosphere or not? M. Prather 10.5194/esd-13-703-2022
- Temporal Dynamics of Canopy Properties and Carbon and Water Fluxes in a Temperate Evergreen Angiosperm Forest A. Renchon et al. 10.3390/f15050801
- Addressing biases in Arctic–boreal carbon cycling in the Community Land Model Version 5 L. Birch et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-3361-2021
- The impact of uniform and nonuniform CO2 concentrations on global climatic change Y. Wang et al. 10.1007/s00704-019-02924-7
- Projected land photosynthesis constrained by changes in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2 S. Wenzel et al. 10.1038/nature19772
- Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection Y. Liu et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1
- Continuous and high-precision atmospheric concentration measurements of COS, CO<sub>2</sub>, CO and H<sub>2</sub>O using a quantum cascade laser spectrometer (QCLS) L. Kooijmans et al. 10.5194/amt-9-5293-2016
- Photosynthetic productivity and its efficiencies in ISIMIP2a biome models: benchmarking for impact assessment studies A. Ito et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a19
- Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO<sub>2</sub> exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models A. Ito et al. 10.3402/tellusb.v68.28968
- The Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) and in situ CO2 data suggest a larger seasonal amplitude of the terrestrial carbon cycle compared to many dynamic global vegetation models R. Lei et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114326
- A review of four decades of atmospheric trace gas measurements at Cape Point, South Africa C. Labuschagne et al. 10.1080/0035919X.2018.1477854
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Short summary
This paper presents the CMIP5 model predictions on the seasonal characteristics of global carbon cycle. We show a model consensus that the amplitude of this seasonal cycle will increase in the future under the RCP8.5 emission scenario. This is mostly due to enhanced ecosystem productivity in high latitude regions. While the models' ensemble CO2 amplitude increase is close to observation, our results suggest the underlying mechanisms may not be realistic.
This paper presents the CMIP5 model predictions on the seasonal characteristics of global carbon...
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