Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-409-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-409-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
24 Nov 2014
Research article |
| 24 Nov 2014
Path independence of climate and carbon cycle response over a broad range of cumulative carbon emissions
T. Herrington
Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada
Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada
Viewed
Total article views: 5,404 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 17 Jun 2014)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,752 | 1,469 | 183 | 5,404 | 232 | 205 |
- HTML: 3,752
- PDF: 1,469
- XML: 183
- Total: 5,404
- BibTeX: 232
- EndNote: 205
Total article views: 4,500 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 24 Nov 2014)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,251 | 1,092 | 157 | 4,500 | 219 | 196 |
- HTML: 3,251
- PDF: 1,092
- XML: 157
- Total: 4,500
- BibTeX: 219
- EndNote: 196
Total article views: 904 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 17 Jun 2014)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | 377 | 26 | 904 | 13 | 9 |
- HTML: 501
- PDF: 377
- XML: 26
- Total: 904
- BibTeX: 13
- EndNote: 9
Cited
49 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Version 2 of the EUMETSAT OSI SAF and ESA CCI sea-ice concentration climate data records T. Lavergne et al. 10.5194/tc-13-49-2019
- Increasing confidence in projecting the Arctic ice-free year with emergent constraints B. Wang et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0b17
- Increase of the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions with decreasing CO2 concentration scenarios K. Tachiiri et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab57d3
- Transient Earth system responses to cumulative carbon dioxide emissions: linearities, uncertainties, and probabilities in an observation-constrained model ensemble M. Steinacher & F. Joos 10.5194/bg-13-1071-2016
- The climate response to five trillion tonnes of carbon K. Tokarska et al. 10.1038/nclimate3036
- Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6 D. Notz & S. Community 10.1029/2019GL086749
- Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications M. Allen et al. 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-105050
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy H. Matthews et al. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
- Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions L. Spafford & A. MacDougall 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6d7b
- Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability K. Tokarska et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1b
- The Trajectory Towards a Seasonally Ice-Free Arctic Ocean D. Notz & J. Stroeve 10.1007/s40641-018-0113-2
- Cumulative emissions accounting of greenhouse gases due to path independence for a sufficiently rapid emissions cycle A. Seshadri 10.1007/s00382-021-05739-3
- Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO 2 emission D. Notz & J. Stroeve 10.1126/science.aag2345
- Seasonal climate change patterns due to cumulative CO 2 emissions A. Partanen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6eb0
- Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot K. Tokarska et al. 10.1029/2019EF001312
- Distributing the Global Carbon Budget with climate justice criteria O. Alcaraz et al. 10.1007/s10584-018-2224-0
- Carbon budget concept and its deviation through the pulse response lens V. Avakumović 10.5194/esd-15-387-2024
- A modified impulse-response representation of the global near-surface air temperature and atmospheric concentration response to carbon dioxide emissions R. Millar et al. 10.5194/acp-17-7213-2017
- Drivers of peak warming in a consumption-maximizing world M. Allen 10.1038/nclimate2977
- Assessing the implications of human land-use change for the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions C. Simmons & H. Matthews 10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035001
- Examination of a climate stabilization pathway via zero-emissions using Earth system models D. Nohara et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/095005
- Evaluating sea ice thickness simulation is critical for projecting a summer ice-free Arctic Ocean X. Zhou et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9d4d
- Non-CO2 forcing changes will likely decrease the remaining carbon budget for 1.5 °C N. Mengis & H. Matthews 10.1038/s41612-020-0123-3
- On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO 2 emissions during periods of net negative CO 2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055006
- Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations J. Schwinger et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022
- Spatially Resolved Temperature Response Functions to CO2 Emissions L. Freese et al. 10.1029/2024GL108788
- The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission K. Zickfeld & T. Herrington 10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/031001
- Predicting the contribution of climate change on North Atlantic underwater sound propagation L. Possenti et al. 10.7717/peerj.16208
- CMIP6 Models Predict Significant 21st Century Decline of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation W. Weijer et al. 10.1029/2019GL086075
- Asymmetry in the climate–carbon cycle response to positive and negative CO2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al. 10.1038/s41558-021-01061-2
- Origin of path independence between cumulative CO $$_{2}$$ 2 emissions and global warming A. Seshadri 10.1007/s00382-016-3519-3
- The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review A. MacDougall 10.1007/s40641-015-0030-6
- The effectiveness of net negative carbon dioxide emissions in reversing anthropogenic climate change K. Tokarska & K. Zickfeld 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094013
- Climate System Responses to a Common Emission Budget of Carbon Dioxide D. Tian et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0213.1
- Linking cumulative carbon emissions to observable climate impacts C. Nzotungicimpaye & H. Matthews 10.1088/2752-5295/ad3fda
- Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO 2 forcings A. MacDougall et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125003
- Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios C. Koven et al. 10.5194/esd-13-885-2022
- The Sensitivity of the Proportionality between Temperature Change and Cumulative CO2 Emissions to Ocean Mixing D. Ehlert et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0247.1
- Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions A. Winkler et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0306128
- The global carbon budget and the Paris agreement O. Alcaraz et al. 10.1108/IJCCSM-06-2017-0127
- An investigation into linearity with cumulative emissions of the climate and carbon cycle response in HadCM3LC S. Liddicoat et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/065003
- Limitations of the TCRE: Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Emissions J. Munshi 10.2139/ssrn.3000932
- Correlation of Regional Warming with Global Emissions J. Munshi 10.2139/ssrn.3033001
- What determines the warming commitment after cessation of CO 2 emissions? D. Ehlert & K. Zickfeld 10.1088/1748-9326/aa564a
- The Effects of Carbon Dioxide Removal on the Carbon Cycle D. Keller et al. 10.1007/s40641-018-0104-3
- Enhancing life cycle impact assessment from climate science: Review of recent findings and recommendations for application to LCA A. Levasseur et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.06.049
- The oceanic origin of path-independent carbon budgets A. MacDougall 10.1038/s41598-017-10557-x
- Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales T. Frölicher & D. Paynter 10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075002
49 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Version 2 of the EUMETSAT OSI SAF and ESA CCI sea-ice concentration climate data records T. Lavergne et al. 10.5194/tc-13-49-2019
- Increasing confidence in projecting the Arctic ice-free year with emergent constraints B. Wang et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac0b17
- Increase of the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions with decreasing CO2 concentration scenarios K. Tachiiri et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab57d3
- Transient Earth system responses to cumulative carbon dioxide emissions: linearities, uncertainties, and probabilities in an observation-constrained model ensemble M. Steinacher & F. Joos 10.5194/bg-13-1071-2016
- The climate response to five trillion tonnes of carbon K. Tokarska et al. 10.1038/nclimate3036
- Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6 D. Notz & S. Community 10.1029/2019GL086749
- Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications M. Allen et al. 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-105050
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy H. Matthews et al. 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson 10.5194/esd-11-563-2020
- Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions L. Spafford & A. MacDougall 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6d7b
- Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability K. Tokarska et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1b
- The Trajectory Towards a Seasonally Ice-Free Arctic Ocean D. Notz & J. Stroeve 10.1007/s40641-018-0113-2
- Cumulative emissions accounting of greenhouse gases due to path independence for a sufficiently rapid emissions cycle A. Seshadri 10.1007/s00382-021-05739-3
- Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO 2 emission D. Notz & J. Stroeve 10.1126/science.aag2345
- Seasonal climate change patterns due to cumulative CO 2 emissions A. Partanen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6eb0
- Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot K. Tokarska et al. 10.1029/2019EF001312
- Distributing the Global Carbon Budget with climate justice criteria O. Alcaraz et al. 10.1007/s10584-018-2224-0
- Carbon budget concept and its deviation through the pulse response lens V. Avakumović 10.5194/esd-15-387-2024
- A modified impulse-response representation of the global near-surface air temperature and atmospheric concentration response to carbon dioxide emissions R. Millar et al. 10.5194/acp-17-7213-2017
- Drivers of peak warming in a consumption-maximizing world M. Allen 10.1038/nclimate2977
- Assessing the implications of human land-use change for the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions C. Simmons & H. Matthews 10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035001
- Examination of a climate stabilization pathway via zero-emissions using Earth system models D. Nohara et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/095005
- Evaluating sea ice thickness simulation is critical for projecting a summer ice-free Arctic Ocean X. Zhou et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9d4d
- Non-CO2 forcing changes will likely decrease the remaining carbon budget for 1.5 °C N. Mengis & H. Matthews 10.1038/s41612-020-0123-3
- On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO 2 emissions during periods of net negative CO 2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055006
- Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations J. Schwinger et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022
- Spatially Resolved Temperature Response Functions to CO2 Emissions L. Freese et al. 10.1029/2024GL108788
- The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission K. Zickfeld & T. Herrington 10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/031001
- Predicting the contribution of climate change on North Atlantic underwater sound propagation L. Possenti et al. 10.7717/peerj.16208
- CMIP6 Models Predict Significant 21st Century Decline of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation W. Weijer et al. 10.1029/2019GL086075
- Asymmetry in the climate–carbon cycle response to positive and negative CO2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al. 10.1038/s41558-021-01061-2
- Origin of path independence between cumulative CO $$_{2}$$ 2 emissions and global warming A. Seshadri 10.1007/s00382-016-3519-3
- The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review A. MacDougall 10.1007/s40641-015-0030-6
- The effectiveness of net negative carbon dioxide emissions in reversing anthropogenic climate change K. Tokarska & K. Zickfeld 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094013
- Climate System Responses to a Common Emission Budget of Carbon Dioxide D. Tian et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0213.1
- Linking cumulative carbon emissions to observable climate impacts C. Nzotungicimpaye & H. Matthews 10.1088/2752-5295/ad3fda
- Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO 2 forcings A. MacDougall et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125003
- Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios C. Koven et al. 10.5194/esd-13-885-2022
- The Sensitivity of the Proportionality between Temperature Change and Cumulative CO2 Emissions to Ocean Mixing D. Ehlert et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0247.1
- Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions A. Winkler et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0306128
- The global carbon budget and the Paris agreement O. Alcaraz et al. 10.1108/IJCCSM-06-2017-0127
- An investigation into linearity with cumulative emissions of the climate and carbon cycle response in HadCM3LC S. Liddicoat et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/065003
- Limitations of the TCRE: Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Emissions J. Munshi 10.2139/ssrn.3000932
- Correlation of Regional Warming with Global Emissions J. Munshi 10.2139/ssrn.3033001
- What determines the warming commitment after cessation of CO 2 emissions? D. Ehlert & K. Zickfeld 10.1088/1748-9326/aa564a
- The Effects of Carbon Dioxide Removal on the Carbon Cycle D. Keller et al. 10.1007/s40641-018-0104-3
- Enhancing life cycle impact assessment from climate science: Review of recent findings and recommendations for application to LCA A. Levasseur et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.06.049
- The oceanic origin of path-independent carbon budgets A. MacDougall 10.1038/s41598-017-10557-x
- Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales T. Frölicher & D. Paynter 10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075002
Saved (final revised paper)
Saved (final revised paper)
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
Recent studies have identified an approximately proportional relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions. This relationship – referred to as the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions (TCRE) – is useful for climate policy applications. We show that the TCRE is constant for cumulative emissions lower than ~1500GtC but declines for higher cumulative emissions. We also find the TCRE to decrease with increasing emission rate.
Recent studies have identified an approximately proportional relationship between global warming...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint