Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-409-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-409-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Path independence of climate and carbon cycle response over a broad range of cumulative carbon emissions
T. Herrington
Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada
Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada
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Cited
53 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Version 2 of the EUMETSAT OSI SAF and ESA CCI sea-ice concentration climate data records T. Lavergne et al.
- Increasing confidence in projecting the Arctic ice-free year with emergent constraints B. Wang et al.
- Increase of the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions with decreasing CO2 concentration scenarios K. Tachiiri et al.
- Transient Earth system responses to cumulative carbon dioxide emissions: linearities, uncertainties, and probabilities in an observation-constrained model ensemble M. Steinacher & F. Joos
- The climate response to five trillion tonnes of carbon K. Tokarska et al.
- Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6 D. Notz & S. Community
- Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications M. Allen et al.
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy H. Matthews et al.
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson
- Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions L. Spafford & A. MacDougall
- Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability K. Tokarska et al.
- The Trajectory Towards a Seasonally Ice-Free Arctic Ocean D. Notz & J. Stroeve
- Cumulative emissions accounting of greenhouse gases due to path independence for a sufficiently rapid emissions cycle A. Seshadri
- Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO 2 emission D. Notz & J. Stroeve
- Seasonal climate change patterns due to cumulative CO 2 emissions A. Partanen et al.
- Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot K. Tokarska et al.
- Distributing the Global Carbon Budget with climate justice criteria O. Alcaraz et al.
- Carbon budget concept and its deviation through the pulse response lens V. Avakumović
- Review:Friction Stir Processing - A Sustainable Technique for the Fabrication of Aluminum Surface Composites S. Nabi et al.
- A modified impulse-response representation of the global near-surface air temperature and atmospheric concentration response to carbon dioxide emissions R. Millar et al.
- Assessing the lifetime of anthropogenic CO2 and its sensitivity to different carbon cycle processes C. Kaufhold et al.
- Drivers of peak warming in a consumption-maximizing world M. Allen
- Geological Net Zero and the need for disaggregated accounting for carbon sinks M. Allen et al.
- Assessing the implications of human land-use change for the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions C. Simmons & H. Matthews
- Examination of a climate stabilization pathway via zero-emissions using Earth system models D. Nohara et al.
- Evaluating sea ice thickness simulation is critical for projecting a summer ice-free Arctic Ocean X. Zhou et al.
- Non-CO2 forcing changes will likely decrease the remaining carbon budget for 1.5 °C N. Mengis & H. Matthews
- On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO 2 emissions during periods of net negative CO 2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al.
- Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations J. Schwinger et al.
- Spatially Resolved Temperature Response Functions to CO2 Emissions L. Freese et al.
- The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission K. Zickfeld & T. Herrington
- Predicting the contribution of climate change on North Atlantic underwater sound propagation L. Possenti et al.
- CMIP6 Models Predict Significant 21st Century Decline of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation W. Weijer et al.
- Asymmetry in the climate–carbon cycle response to positive and negative CO2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al.
- Origin of path independence between cumulative CO $$_{2}$$ 2 emissions and global warming A. Seshadri
- The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review A. MacDougall
- A Holistic View of Climate Sensitivity N. Jeevanjee et al.
- The effectiveness of net negative carbon dioxide emissions in reversing anthropogenic climate change K. Tokarska & K. Zickfeld
- Climate System Responses to a Common Emission Budget of Carbon Dioxide D. Tian et al.
- Linking cumulative carbon emissions to observable climate impacts C. Nzotungicimpaye & H. Matthews
- Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO 2 forcings A. MacDougall et al.
- Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios C. Koven et al.
- The Sensitivity of the Proportionality between Temperature Change and Cumulative CO2 Emissions to Ocean Mixing D. Ehlert et al.
- Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions A. Winkler et al.
- The global carbon budget and the Paris agreement O. Alcaraz et al.
- An investigation into linearity with cumulative emissions of the climate and carbon cycle response in HadCM3LC S. Liddicoat et al.
- Limitations of the TCRE: Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Emissions J. Munshi
- Correlation of Regional Warming with Global Emissions J. Munshi
- What determines the warming commitment after cessation of CO 2 emissions? D. Ehlert & K. Zickfeld
- The Effects of Carbon Dioxide Removal on the Carbon Cycle D. Keller et al.
- Enhancing life cycle impact assessment from climate science: Review of recent findings and recommendations for application to LCA A. Levasseur et al.
- The oceanic origin of path-independent carbon budgets A. MacDougall
- Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales T. Frölicher & D. Paynter
53 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Version 2 of the EUMETSAT OSI SAF and ESA CCI sea-ice concentration climate data records T. Lavergne et al.
- Increasing confidence in projecting the Arctic ice-free year with emergent constraints B. Wang et al.
- Increase of the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions with decreasing CO2 concentration scenarios K. Tachiiri et al.
- Transient Earth system responses to cumulative carbon dioxide emissions: linearities, uncertainties, and probabilities in an observation-constrained model ensemble M. Steinacher & F. Joos
- The climate response to five trillion tonnes of carbon K. Tokarska et al.
- Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6 D. Notz & S. Community
- Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications M. Allen et al.
- Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy H. Matthews et al.
- The role of prior assumptions in carbon budget calculations B. Sanderson
- Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions L. Spafford & A. MacDougall
- Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability K. Tokarska et al.
- The Trajectory Towards a Seasonally Ice-Free Arctic Ocean D. Notz & J. Stroeve
- Cumulative emissions accounting of greenhouse gases due to path independence for a sufficiently rapid emissions cycle A. Seshadri
- Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO 2 emission D. Notz & J. Stroeve
- Seasonal climate change patterns due to cumulative CO 2 emissions A. Partanen et al.
- Path Independence of Carbon Budgets When Meeting a Stringent Global Mean Temperature Target After an Overshoot K. Tokarska et al.
- Distributing the Global Carbon Budget with climate justice criteria O. Alcaraz et al.
- Carbon budget concept and its deviation through the pulse response lens V. Avakumović
- Review:Friction Stir Processing - A Sustainable Technique for the Fabrication of Aluminum Surface Composites S. Nabi et al.
- A modified impulse-response representation of the global near-surface air temperature and atmospheric concentration response to carbon dioxide emissions R. Millar et al.
- Assessing the lifetime of anthropogenic CO2 and its sensitivity to different carbon cycle processes C. Kaufhold et al.
- Drivers of peak warming in a consumption-maximizing world M. Allen
- Geological Net Zero and the need for disaggregated accounting for carbon sinks M. Allen et al.
- Assessing the implications of human land-use change for the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions C. Simmons & H. Matthews
- Examination of a climate stabilization pathway via zero-emissions using Earth system models D. Nohara et al.
- Evaluating sea ice thickness simulation is critical for projecting a summer ice-free Arctic Ocean X. Zhou et al.
- Non-CO2 forcing changes will likely decrease the remaining carbon budget for 1.5 °C N. Mengis & H. Matthews
- On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO 2 emissions during periods of net negative CO 2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al.
- Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations J. Schwinger et al.
- Spatially Resolved Temperature Response Functions to CO2 Emissions L. Freese et al.
- The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission K. Zickfeld & T. Herrington
- Predicting the contribution of climate change on North Atlantic underwater sound propagation L. Possenti et al.
- CMIP6 Models Predict Significant 21st Century Decline of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation W. Weijer et al.
- Asymmetry in the climate–carbon cycle response to positive and negative CO2 emissions K. Zickfeld et al.
- Origin of path independence between cumulative CO $$_{2}$$ 2 emissions and global warming A. Seshadri
- The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review A. MacDougall
- A Holistic View of Climate Sensitivity N. Jeevanjee et al.
- The effectiveness of net negative carbon dioxide emissions in reversing anthropogenic climate change K. Tokarska & K. Zickfeld
- Climate System Responses to a Common Emission Budget of Carbon Dioxide D. Tian et al.
- Linking cumulative carbon emissions to observable climate impacts C. Nzotungicimpaye & H. Matthews
- Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO 2 forcings A. MacDougall et al.
- Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios C. Koven et al.
- The Sensitivity of the Proportionality between Temperature Change and Cumulative CO2 Emissions to Ocean Mixing D. Ehlert et al.
- Carbon system state determines warming potential of emissions A. Winkler et al.
- The global carbon budget and the Paris agreement O. Alcaraz et al.
- An investigation into linearity with cumulative emissions of the climate and carbon cycle response in HadCM3LC S. Liddicoat et al.
- Limitations of the TCRE: Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Emissions J. Munshi
- Correlation of Regional Warming with Global Emissions J. Munshi
- What determines the warming commitment after cessation of CO 2 emissions? D. Ehlert & K. Zickfeld
- The Effects of Carbon Dioxide Removal on the Carbon Cycle D. Keller et al.
- Enhancing life cycle impact assessment from climate science: Review of recent findings and recommendations for application to LCA A. Levasseur et al.
- The oceanic origin of path-independent carbon budgets A. MacDougall
- Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales T. Frölicher & D. Paynter
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 05 May 2026
Short summary
Recent studies have identified an approximately proportional relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions. This relationship – referred to as the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions (TCRE) – is useful for climate policy applications. We show that the TCRE is constant for cumulative emissions lower than ~1500GtC but declines for higher cumulative emissions. We also find the TCRE to decrease with increasing emission rate.
Recent studies have identified an approximately proportional relationship between global warming...
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