Articles | Volume 5, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-139-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-139-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
25 Mar 2014
Research article |
| 25 Mar 2014
A lower and more constrained estimate of climate sensitivity using updated observations and detailed radiative forcing time series
R. B. Skeie
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo (CICERO), Oslo, Norway
T. Berntsen
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo (CICERO), Oslo, Norway
Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
M. Aldrin
Norwegian Computing Center, Oslo, Norway
Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
M. Holden
Norwegian Computing Center, Oslo, Norway
Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo (CICERO), Oslo, Norway
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46 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Human Versus Natural Influences on Climate and Biodiversity: The Carbon Dioxide Connection W. Davis https://doi.org/10.3390/sci7040152
- Reply to 'Volcanic effects on climate' D. Johansson et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2861
- Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity using observationally constrained simple climate models R. Bodman & R. Jones https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.397
- Keeping it simple: the value of an irreducibly simple climate model C. Monckton of Brenchley et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-015-0856-2
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- A New Graphical Method to Diagnose the Impacts of Model Changes on Climate Sensitivity S. JAIN et al. https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2021-021
- Geographical Distribution of Thermometers Gives the Appearance of Lower Historical Global Warming R. Benestad et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083474
- Origins of a Relatively Tight Lower Bound on Anthropogenic Aerosol Radiative Forcing from Bayesian Analysis of Historical Observations A. Albright et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0167.1
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- Probability of committed warming exceeding 1.5 ∘C and 2.0 ∘C Paris targets S. Sherwood et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6ff6
- Climate and hydrological models to assess the impact of climate change on hydrological regime: a review R. Kour et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-016-2561-0
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- The implications for climate sensitivity of AR5 forcing and heat uptake estimates N. Lewis & J. Curry https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2342-y
- Inferred Net Aerosol Forcing Based on Historical Climate Changes: a Review C. Forest https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0085-2
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- An Estimate of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity From Interannual Variability A. Dessler & P. Forster https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028481
- Disentangling greenhouse warming and aerosol cooling to reveal Earth’s climate sensitivity T. Storelvmo et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2670
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- Missing iris effect as a possible cause of muted hydrological change and high climate sensitivity in models T. Mauritsen & B. Stevens https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2414
- Recent Developments in Bayesian Estimation of Climate Sensitivity J. Annan https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0023-5
- Implications of recent multimodel attribution studies for climate sensitivity N. Lewis https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2653-7
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- The application of machine learning for evaluating anthropogenic versus natural climate change J. Abbot & J. Marohasy https://doi.org/10.1016/j.grj.2017.08.001
- Estimates of climate system properties incorporating recent climate change A. Libardoni et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-19-2018
- Perspective has a strong effect on the calculation of historical contributions to global warming R. Skeie et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5b0a
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46 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Feedbacks, climate sensitivity and the limits of linear models R. Knutti & M. Rugenstein https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2015.0146
- Understanding the Improbable: A Survey of Fat Tails in Environmental Economics M. Conte & D. Kelly https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-102020-094143
- Human Versus Natural Influences on Climate and Biodiversity: The Carbon Dioxide Connection W. Davis https://doi.org/10.3390/sci7040152
- Reply to 'Volcanic effects on climate' D. Johansson et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2861
- Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity using observationally constrained simple climate models R. Bodman & R. Jones https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.397
- Keeping it simple: the value of an irreducibly simple climate model C. Monckton of Brenchley et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-015-0856-2
- The influence of internal variability on Earth's energy balance framework and implications for estimating climate sensitivity A. Dessler et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5147-2018
- The benefits of investing into improved carbon flux monitoring J. Szolgayová et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2016.1239672
- EMPIRICALLY CONSTRAINED CLIMATE SENSITIVITY AND THE SOCIAL COST OF CARBON K. DAYARATNA et al. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007817500063
- A New Graphical Method to Diagnose the Impacts of Model Changes on Climate Sensitivity S. JAIN et al. https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2021-021
- Geographical Distribution of Thermometers Gives the Appearance of Lower Historical Global Warming R. Benestad et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083474
- Origins of a Relatively Tight Lower Bound on Anthropogenic Aerosol Radiative Forcing from Bayesian Analysis of Historical Observations A. Albright et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0167.1
- The fractional energy balance equation for climate projections through 2100 R. Procyk et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-81-2022
- Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity R. Knutti et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo3017
- Empirically-Constrained Climate Sensitivity and the Social Cost of Carbon K. Dayaratna et al. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2759505
- The aerosol pathway is crucial for observationally constraining climate sensitivity and anthropogenic forcing R. Skeie et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1435-2024
- Identifying climate model structural inconsistencies allows for tight constraint of aerosol radiative forcing L. Regayre et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-8749-2023
- A Limited Role for Unforced Internal Variability in Twentieth-Century Warming K. Haustein et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0555.1
- Probability of committed warming exceeding 1.5 ∘C and 2.0 ∘C Paris targets S. Sherwood et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6ff6
- Climate and hydrological models to assess the impact of climate change on hydrological regime: a review R. Kour et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-016-2561-0
- Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short-lived pollutants A. Stohl et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10529-2015
- Equilibrium climate sensitivity in light of observations over the warming hiatus D. Johansson et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2573
- Radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide: A significant revision of the methane radiative forcing M. Etminan et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071930
- Anthropogenic CO 2 warming challenged by 60-year cycle F. Gervais https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2016.02.005
- On the meaning of independence in climate science J. Annan & J. Hargreaves https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-211-2017
- Mixing of MCMC algorithms L. Holden https://doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2019.1615064
- The implications for climate sensitivity of AR5 forcing and heat uptake estimates N. Lewis & J. Curry https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2342-y
- Inferred Net Aerosol Forcing Based on Historical Climate Changes: a Review C. Forest https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0085-2
- Uncertainty in temperature response of current consumption-based emissions estimates J. Karstensen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-287-2015
- How Much Human-Caused Global Warming Should We Expect with Business-As-Usual (BAU) Climate Policies? A Semi-Empirical Assessment R. Connolly et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13061365
- An Estimate of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity From Interannual Variability A. Dessler & P. Forster https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028481
- Disentangling greenhouse warming and aerosol cooling to reveal Earth’s climate sensitivity T. Storelvmo et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2670
- Climate sensitivity, agricultural productivity and the social cost of carbon in FUND K. Dayaratna et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-020-00263-w
- Assessing atmospheric temperature data sets for climate studies M. Cederlöf et al. https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v68.31503
- Inference of Climate Sensitivity from Analysis of Earth's Energy Budget P. Forster https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-060614-105156
- An observation-based scaling model for climate sensitivity estimates and global projections to 2100 R. Hébert et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05521-x
- Earth’s Climate History from 4.5 Billion Years to One Minute J. Lin & T. Qian https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2022.2082914
- Missing iris effect as a possible cause of muted hydrological change and high climate sensitivity in models T. Mauritsen & B. Stevens https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2414
- Recent Developments in Bayesian Estimation of Climate Sensitivity J. Annan https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0023-5
- Implications of recent multimodel attribution studies for climate sensitivity N. Lewis https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2653-7
- CICERO Simple Climate Model (CICERO-SCM v1.1.1) – an improved simple climate model with a parameter calibration tool M. Sandstad et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6589-2024
- A review of progress towards understanding the transient global mean surface temperature response to radiative perturbation M. Yoshimori et al. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-016-0096-3
- The application of machine learning for evaluating anthropogenic versus natural climate change J. Abbot & J. Marohasy https://doi.org/10.1016/j.grj.2017.08.001
- Estimates of climate system properties incorporating recent climate change A. Libardoni et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-19-2018
- Perspective has a strong effect on the calculation of historical contributions to global warming R. Skeie et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5b0a
- Climate sensitivity estimates – sensitivity to radiative forcing time series and observational data R. Skeie et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-879-2018
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