Articles | Volume 4, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-95-2013
© Author(s) 2013. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-95-2013
© Author(s) 2013. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
08 Apr 2013
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 08 Apr 2013
Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models
B. B. B. Booth
Met Office Hadley Centre Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
D. Bernie
Met Office Hadley Centre Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
D. McNeall
Met Office Hadley Centre Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
E. Hawkins
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
J. Caesar
Met Office Hadley Centre Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
C. Boulton
Met Office Hadley Centre Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Hatherly Laboratories, Prince of Wales Road, Exeter, EX4 4PS, UK
P. Friedlingstein
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences University of Exeter, Harrison Building, North Park Road, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK
D. M. H. Sexton
Met Office Hadley Centre Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Viewed
Total article views: 8,246 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Feb 2013, article published on 07 Sep 2012)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,339 | 2,457 | 450 | 8,246 | 239 | 193 |
- HTML: 5,339
- PDF: 2,457
- XML: 450
- Total: 8,246
- BibTeX: 239
- EndNote: 193
Total article views: 6,960 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 08 Apr 2013)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,712 | 1,841 | 407 | 6,960 | 203 | 184 |
- HTML: 4,712
- PDF: 1,841
- XML: 407
- Total: 6,960
- BibTeX: 203
- EndNote: 184
Total article views: 1,286 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Feb 2013, article published on 07 Sep 2012)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 627 | 616 | 43 | 1,286 | 36 | 9 |
- HTML: 627
- PDF: 616
- XML: 43
- Total: 1,286
- BibTeX: 36
- EndNote: 9
Cited
34 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate Change, Carbon Dioxide, and Pest Biology, Managing the Future: Coffee as a Case Study L. Ziska et al. 10.3390/agronomy8080152
- Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations D. Huard et al. 10.1029/2022EF002715
- Looking to the (far) future of climate projection C. Boulton 10.1111/gcb.15936
- Reducing uncertainty in projections of terrestrial carbon uptake N. Lovenduski & G. Bonan 10.1088/1748-9326/aa66b8
- Uncertainty in Projection of Climate Extremes: A Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6 S. Zhang & J. Chen 10.1007/s13351-021-1012-3
- Limits to global and Australian temperature change this century based on expert judgment of climate sensitivity M. Grose et al. 10.1007/s00382-016-3269-2
- Varying hydrological response to climate change in three neighborhood plateau lake basins: Localized climate change feature matters Z. Duan et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110015
- Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making J. Ylhäisi et al. 10.1080/13549839.2013.874987
- Assessing the potential for community shift from hard coral to soft coral and its impact S. INOUE & A. TAKAHASHI 10.3755/jcrs.16.29
- Strong Influence of Aerosol Reductions on Future Heatwaves A. Zhao et al. 10.1029/2019GL082269
- Climate and health implications of future aerosol emission scenarios A. Partanen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aaa511
- Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers A. Bellucci et al. 10.1002/2014RG000473
- Acidification of the Nordic Seas F. Fransner et al. 10.5194/bg-19-979-2022
- Uncertainty assessment for climate change impact on intense precipitation: how many model runs do we need? P. Hosseinzadehtalaei et al. 10.1002/joc.5069
- A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3.05 coupled model projections: part 1: selecting the parameter combinations D. Sexton et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05709-9
- Exploring uncertainty of Amazon dieback in a perturbed parameter Earth system ensemble C. Boulton et al. 10.1111/gcb.13733
- Benefits of Climate-Change Mitigation for Reducing the Impacts of Sea-Level Rise in G-20 Countries S. Brown et al. 10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-16-00185.1
- Narrowing the Range of Future Climate Projections Using Historical Observations of Atmospheric CO2 B. Booth et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0178.1
- The impact of structural error on parameter constraint in a climate model D. McNeall et al. 10.5194/esd-7-917-2016
- Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors T. Frölicher et al. 10.1002/2015GB005338
- Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part 1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales D. Sexton et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04625-3
- Effects of model structural uncertainty on carbon cycle projections: biological nitrogen fixation as a case study W. Wieder et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044016
- Transient climate changes in a perturbed parameter ensemble of emissions-driven earth system model simulations J. Murphy et al. 10.1007/s00382-014-2097-5
- The impact of climate mitigation on projections of future drought I. Taylor et al. 10.5194/hess-17-2339-2013
- Concept of loss and damage of climate change – a new challenge for climate decision-making? A climate science perspective S. Surminski & A. Lopez 10.1080/17565529.2014.934770
- Constraining Amazonian land surface temperature sensitivity to precipitation and the probability of forest dieback Y. Chai et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00162-1
- The BEAP Teleconnection and Its Relationship With ENSO in CMIP6: Present and Future Projections S. Gui & R. Yang 10.1029/2022JD037073
- Prediction CH4 Emissions from the Wetlands in the Sanjiang Plain of Northeastern China in the 21st Century T. Li et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0158872
- Uncertainty assessment of future climate change using bias-corrected high-resolution multi-regional climate model datasets over East Asia C. Park et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07006-z
- How do carbon cycle uncertainties affect IPCC temperature projections? R. Bodman et al. 10.1002/asl.648
- Hydrologic impacts of future climate change on Southeast US watersheds S. Bastola 10.1007/s10113-013-0454-2
- Interactions between perturbations to different Earth system components simulated by a fully-coupled climate model F. Lambert et al. 10.1007/s00382-012-1618-3
- Assessment of climate change impacts on soil water balance and aquifer recharge in a semiarid region in south east Spain I. Touhami et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.05.012
- A method for investigating the relative importance of three components in overall uncertainty of climate projections M. Zhuan et al. 10.1002/joc.5920
30 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate Change, Carbon Dioxide, and Pest Biology, Managing the Future: Coffee as a Case Study L. Ziska et al. 10.3390/agronomy8080152
- Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations D. Huard et al. 10.1029/2022EF002715
- Looking to the (far) future of climate projection C. Boulton 10.1111/gcb.15936
- Reducing uncertainty in projections of terrestrial carbon uptake N. Lovenduski & G. Bonan 10.1088/1748-9326/aa66b8
- Uncertainty in Projection of Climate Extremes: A Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6 S. Zhang & J. Chen 10.1007/s13351-021-1012-3
- Limits to global and Australian temperature change this century based on expert judgment of climate sensitivity M. Grose et al. 10.1007/s00382-016-3269-2
- Varying hydrological response to climate change in three neighborhood plateau lake basins: Localized climate change feature matters Z. Duan et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110015
- Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making J. Ylhäisi et al. 10.1080/13549839.2013.874987
- Assessing the potential for community shift from hard coral to soft coral and its impact S. INOUE & A. TAKAHASHI 10.3755/jcrs.16.29
- Strong Influence of Aerosol Reductions on Future Heatwaves A. Zhao et al. 10.1029/2019GL082269
- Climate and health implications of future aerosol emission scenarios A. Partanen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aaa511
- Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers A. Bellucci et al. 10.1002/2014RG000473
- Acidification of the Nordic Seas F. Fransner et al. 10.5194/bg-19-979-2022
- Uncertainty assessment for climate change impact on intense precipitation: how many model runs do we need? P. Hosseinzadehtalaei et al. 10.1002/joc.5069
- A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3.05 coupled model projections: part 1: selecting the parameter combinations D. Sexton et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05709-9
- Exploring uncertainty of Amazon dieback in a perturbed parameter Earth system ensemble C. Boulton et al. 10.1111/gcb.13733
- Benefits of Climate-Change Mitigation for Reducing the Impacts of Sea-Level Rise in G-20 Countries S. Brown et al. 10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-16-00185.1
- Narrowing the Range of Future Climate Projections Using Historical Observations of Atmospheric CO2 B. Booth et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0178.1
- The impact of structural error on parameter constraint in a climate model D. McNeall et al. 10.5194/esd-7-917-2016
- Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors T. Frölicher et al. 10.1002/2015GB005338
- Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part 1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales D. Sexton et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04625-3
- Effects of model structural uncertainty on carbon cycle projections: biological nitrogen fixation as a case study W. Wieder et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044016
- Transient climate changes in a perturbed parameter ensemble of emissions-driven earth system model simulations J. Murphy et al. 10.1007/s00382-014-2097-5
- The impact of climate mitigation on projections of future drought I. Taylor et al. 10.5194/hess-17-2339-2013
- Concept of loss and damage of climate change – a new challenge for climate decision-making? A climate science perspective S. Surminski & A. Lopez 10.1080/17565529.2014.934770
- Constraining Amazonian land surface temperature sensitivity to precipitation and the probability of forest dieback Y. Chai et al. 10.1038/s41612-021-00162-1
- The BEAP Teleconnection and Its Relationship With ENSO in CMIP6: Present and Future Projections S. Gui & R. Yang 10.1029/2022JD037073
- Prediction CH4 Emissions from the Wetlands in the Sanjiang Plain of Northeastern China in the 21st Century T. Li et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0158872
- Uncertainty assessment of future climate change using bias-corrected high-resolution multi-regional climate model datasets over East Asia C. Park et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07006-z
- How do carbon cycle uncertainties affect IPCC temperature projections? R. Bodman et al. 10.1002/asl.648
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Hydrologic impacts of future climate change on Southeast US watersheds S. Bastola 10.1007/s10113-013-0454-2
- Interactions between perturbations to different Earth system components simulated by a fully-coupled climate model F. Lambert et al. 10.1007/s00382-012-1618-3
- Assessment of climate change impacts on soil water balance and aquifer recharge in a semiarid region in south east Spain I. Touhami et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.05.012
- A method for investigating the relative importance of three components in overall uncertainty of climate projections M. Zhuan et al. 10.1002/joc.5920
Saved (final revised paper)
Saved (final revised paper)
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint