Articles | Volume 17, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-265-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-265-2026
Research article
 | 
05 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 05 Mar 2026

Dynamical system metrics and weather regimes explain the seasonally-varying link between European heatwaves and the large-scale atmospheric circulation

Ines Dillerup, Alexander Lemburg, Sebastian Buschow, and Joaquim G. Pinto

Data sets

ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present H. Hersbach et al. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47

Model code and software

CDSK (Chaotic Dynamical System Kit) Y. Robin https://github.com/yrobink/CDSK

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Short summary
We analyze the duration of large-scale weather patterns and their link to near-surface temperatures during heatwaves in Central Europe for 1950–2023. Compared to non-heatwave days, a stronger link between them is found on heatwave days from May to September. We relate our results to typical long-lasting weather patterns known as weather regimes. In July and August, weather patterns last longer as west winds are often blocked by Scandinavian and European blocking regimes, inducing hot extremes.
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