Articles | Volume 17, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1629-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1629-2026
Research article
 | 
05 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 05 Nov 2026

Past and future projected radiative effects from irrigation

Amen Al-Yaari, Chris Smith, Yi Yao, Kjetil S. Aas, L. Ruby Leung, Min-Hui Lo, Sonali McDermid, Larissa Nazarenko, Yadu Pokhrel, Yusuke Satoh, Tokuta Yokohata, and Wim Thiery

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Short summary
In this study, we use historical simulations (1902-2014) from the Irrigation Model Intercomparison Project (IRRMIP) to provide the first multi-model quantification of irrigation-induced effective radiative forcing (ERF). We find that the global multi-model mean ERF is positive but small (~0.023 W m⁻²). This small global signal masks regional heterogeneity: South Asia and West Central Asia show higher positive ERF (~0.23 W m⁻²), whereas East Asia exhibits a negative signal (~ −0.03 W m⁻²).
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