Articles | Volume 16, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-869-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-869-2025
Research article
 | 
12 Jun 2025
Research article |  | 12 Jun 2025

Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes

Yigit Uckan, Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez, Kelley De Polt, and René Orth

Data sets

ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present H. Hersbach et al. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47

MOD13C1 MODIS/Terra Vegetation Indices 16-Day L3 Global 0.05Deg CMG V006 K. Didan https://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MOD13C1.006

FLUXCOM-X-BASE J. A. Nelson et al. https://doi.org/10.18160/5NZG-JMJE

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Short summary
We analyze drivers of hot temperature extremes, focusing on both atmospheric and land-surface factors. Using observation-based data and an analogue-based approach, we find that geopotential height at 500 hPa is the most significant driver worldwide at daily and weekly timescales. Surface net radiation and evaporative fraction play relevant roles at the daily scale and wind at the weekly timescale. The driver influence varies by region, related to differences in climate regimes and land cover.
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