Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1809-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1809-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
Research article
 | 
21 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 21 Oct 2025

Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels

Min Cui, Duoying Ji, and Yangxin Chen

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Short summary
We conducted a study on the long-term response and feedback of northern high-latitude permafrost under scenarios where temperature either stabilized or overshoot. Our findings indicate that the additional warming due to permafrost carbon emissions is significantly greater during the cooling phase of temperature overshoot scenarios. Moreover, the responses of permafrost area, permafrost carbon and associated radiative forcing to a broad range of global warming exhibit near-linear relationships.
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