Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1221-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.Physics of AMOC multistable regime shifts due to freshwater biases in an EMIC
Download
- Final revised paper (published on 01 Aug 2025)
- Preprint (discussion started on 21 Mar 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
-
RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-758', Susanne Ditlevsen, 18 Apr 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Amber Boot, 07 May 2025
-
RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-758', R. Marsh, 24 Apr 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Amber Boot, 07 May 2025
Peer review completion
AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (07 May 2025) by Gabriele Messori

AR by Amber Boot on behalf of the Authors (07 May 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (21 May 2025) by Gabriele Messori

AR by Amber Boot on behalf of the Authors (23 May 2025)
Manuscript
General comments
It is of great importance to understand the risks of tipping of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). This is often done using climate models, however, these are known to have biases, in particular, freshwater biases in the Indian and the Atlantic Ocean, which might affect the model evaluations of AMOC stability. It is therefore of great interest to quantify how such biases might affect model outputs. This is the goal of the paper. The paper conducts larger simulation studies of CLIMBER-X, an Earth System Model of intermediate complexity to study the effect of biases in surface freshwater flux on AMOC tipping behavior. Several scenarios of biases are introduced in the Indian and Atlantic Ocean, as well as the reference level with no bias. Then they perform hysteresis experiments on all scenarios, where the surface freshwater forcing is slowly ramped up in the North Atlantic until the AMOC collapses; subsequently, the forcing is reversed until the AMOC recovers again.
The paper shows that the AMOC stability is hugely affected by freshwater biases. This is an important result, and underpins the importance of being careful when drawing quantitative conclusions from climate models regarding tipping elements, in particular the AMOC.
The paper is very well written, the methods well chosen and executed and statements, conclusions, methods and goals clearly detailed. Figures are of high quality.
Congratulations with a really nice work.
Technical corrections
It is confusing with the notation REF for the reference model. It looks like there is an error with a reference. This is not important, just a suggestion to change the notation.