Articles | Volume 15, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-913-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-913-2024
Research article
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24 Jul 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 24 Jul 2024

Observation-inferred resilience loss of the Amazon rainforest possibly due to internal climate variability

Raphael Grodofzig, Martin Renoult, and Thorsten Mauritsen

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2734', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Jan 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Raphael Grodofzig, 24 Apr 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2734', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Feb 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Raphael Grodofzig, 24 Apr 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (10 May 2024) by Kira Rehfeld
AR by Raphael Grodofzig on behalf of the Authors (13 May 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (29 May 2024) by Kira Rehfeld
AR by Raphael Grodofzig on behalf of the Authors (03 Jun 2024)  Manuscript 
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Chief editor
The Amazon forest is frequently discussed as a tipping element in the Earth System. This study uses a multi-model multi-member ensemble of climate model simulations with interactive vegetation dynamics to evidence the importance of local land-management strategies for increasing Amazon resilience.
Short summary
We investigate whether the Amazon rainforest has lost substantial resilience since 1990. This assertion is based on trends in the observational record of vegetation density. We calculate the same metrics in a large number of climate model simulations and find that several models behave indistinguishably from the observations, suggesting that the observed trend could be caused by internal variability and that the cause of the ongoing rapid loss of Amazon rainforest is not mainly global warming.
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