Articles | Volume 15, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-75-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-75-2024
Research article
 | 
29 Jan 2024
Research article |  | 29 Jan 2024

Historical and projected future runoff over the Mekong River basin

Chao Wang, Stephen Leisz, Li Li, Xiaoying Shi, Jiafu Mao, Yi Zheng, and Anping Chen

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Cited articles

Adamson, P. T., Rutherfurd, I. D., Peel, M. C., and Conlan, I. A.: The hydrology of the Mekong River, in: The Mekong, edited by: Campbell, I. C., Elsevier, 53–76, https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-374026-7.00004-8, 2009. a
Alcamo, J., Döll, P., Henrichs, T., Kaspar, F., Lehner, B., Rösch, T., and Siebert, S.: Development and testing of the WaterGAP 2 global model of water use and availability, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 48, 317–337, 2003. a
Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N.: The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale, Climatic Change, 134, 387–401, 2016. a
Arnell, N. W., van Vuuren, D. P., and Isaac, M.: The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources, Global Environ. Chang., 21, 592–603, 2011. a
Bihrat, Ö. and Bayazit, M.: The power of statistical tests for trend detection, Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences, 27, 247–251, 2003. a
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Short summary
Climate change can significantly impact river runoff; however, predicting future runoff is challenging. Using historical runoff gauge data to evaluate model performances in runoff simulations for the Mekong River, we quantify future runoff changes in the Mekong River with the best simulation combination. Results suggest a significant increase in the annual runoff, along with varied seasonal distributions, thus heightening the need for adapted water resource management measures.
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