Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-717-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-717-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Intensified future heat extremes linked with increasing ecosystem water limitation
Jasper M. C. Denissen
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department for Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Research Department, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Bonn, Germany
Adriaan J. Teuling
Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Sujan Koirala
Department for Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Markus Reichstein
Department for Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Gianpaolo Balsamo
Research Department, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom
World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
Martha M. Vogel
Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, the Netherlands
Department for Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
René Orth
Department for Biogeochemical Integration, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany
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Cited
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes Y. Uckan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-869-2025
- Living Root-Mediated Soil Temperature Amplifies the Effects of Experimental Warming on Soil Microarthropod Communities in a Quercus mongolica Forest in Northeast China C. Chi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects16080809
- Global Spring–Autumn Phenology Coupling Inferred from Satellite Observations and Reanalysis-Based Climate Limitations X. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18071002
- Contrasting Responses of Near-Surface Air Temperature to Historical Land Cover Change in CESM H. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-025-5058-5
- Warming Reshapes Land-Atmosphere Coupling: The LST-SM-ET-GPP Framework R. Mi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17040352
- Europe’s Double Threat: Evolving patterns of compound heatwaves and droughts S. Mathbout et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2025.104987
- Climate change and urban flooding: assessing remote sensing data and flood modeling techniques: a comprehensive review A. Bagheri & G. Liu https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2024-0065
- Assessing the h-index for mediterranean climate analysis D. Yavaşlı https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05665-y
- CMIP6-based analysis of precipitation and temperature trends and their implications on water resource management in the Gidabo Watershed, Ethiopia D. Dogiso et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2025.227
- Daily rainfall variability controls humid heatwaves in the global tropics and subtropics L. Jackson et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58694-6
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes Y. Uckan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-869-2025
- Living Root-Mediated Soil Temperature Amplifies the Effects of Experimental Warming on Soil Microarthropod Communities in a Quercus mongolica Forest in Northeast China C. Chi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects16080809
- Global Spring–Autumn Phenology Coupling Inferred from Satellite Observations and Reanalysis-Based Climate Limitations X. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18071002
- Contrasting Responses of Near-Surface Air Temperature to Historical Land Cover Change in CESM H. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-025-5058-5
- Warming Reshapes Land-Atmosphere Coupling: The LST-SM-ET-GPP Framework R. Mi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17040352
- Europe’s Double Threat: Evolving patterns of compound heatwaves and droughts S. Mathbout et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2025.104987
- Climate change and urban flooding: assessing remote sensing data and flood modeling techniques: a comprehensive review A. Bagheri & G. Liu https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2024-0065
- Assessing the h-index for mediterranean climate analysis D. Yavaşlı https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05665-y
- CMIP6-based analysis of precipitation and temperature trends and their implications on water resource management in the Gidabo Watershed, Ethiopia D. Dogiso et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2025.227
- Daily rainfall variability controls humid heatwaves in the global tropics and subtropics L. Jackson et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58694-6
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 14 Jul 2026
Short summary
Heat extremes have severe implications for human health and ecosystems. Heat extremes are mostly introduced by large-scale atmospheric circulation but can be modulated by vegetation. Vegetation with access to water uses solar energy to evaporate water into the atmosphere. Under dry conditions, water may not be available, suppressing evaporation and heating the atmosphere. Using climate projections, we show that regionally less water is available for vegetation, intensifying future heat extremes.
Heat extremes have severe implications for human health and ecosystems. Heat extremes are mostly...
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