Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-265-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-265-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
20 Mar 2024
Research article |
| 20 Mar 2024
| 20 Mar 2024
Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle
Steven J. De Hertog
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Carmen E. Lopez-Fabara
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Ruud van der Ent
Department of Water Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
Jessica Keune
Hydro-Climate Extremes Lab, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
Diego G. Miralles
Hydro-Climate Extremes Lab, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
Raphael Portmann
Division of Agroecology and Environment, Agroscope Reckenholz, Zurich, Switzerland
Sebastian Schemm
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Felix Havermann
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Centre for Climate Research Singapore (CCRS), Singapore, Singapore
Iris Manola
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Quentin Lejeune
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Wim Thiery
Department of Water and Climate, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Atmospheric moisture tracking with WAM2layers v3 P. Kalverla et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4335-2025
- Latitudinal divergence in runoff responses to global forestation due to forest-atmosphere feedbacks F. Kan et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-68945-9
- Moisture Transport and Recycling Shape Wetting and Drying Across China: Implications for Water Sustainability C. Lu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18094252
- Climate response to Nature Future scenarios in a regional Earth System Model P. Sieber et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-70284-8
- Forests support global crop supply through atmospheric moisture transport A. Pranindita et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-025-00518-4
- Global and regional hydrological impacts of global forest expansion J. King et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3883-2024
- Amazonian deforestation makes the wet season wetter, and the dry season drier W. Thiery https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-025-00542-0
- Impact of Amazonian deforestation on precipitation reverses between seasons Y. Qin et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08570-y
- Deforestation-induced runoff changes dominated by forest-climate feedbacks S. Ma et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp3964
- Forest favours conditions for convective precipitation in the Mediterranean Basin J. Theeuwen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-6913-2025
- Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land cover and land management changes S. Guo et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-631-2025
- Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model Y. Moustakis et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52508-x
- Impacts of North American forest cover changes on the North Atlantic Ocean circulation V. Bauer et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-379-2025
- No compromise in efficiency from the co-application of a marine and a terrestrial CDR method Y. Moustakis et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59982-x
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Atmospheric moisture tracking with WAM2layers v3 P. Kalverla et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4335-2025
- Latitudinal divergence in runoff responses to global forestation due to forest-atmosphere feedbacks F. Kan et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-68945-9
- Moisture Transport and Recycling Shape Wetting and Drying Across China: Implications for Water Sustainability C. Lu et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18094252
- Climate response to Nature Future scenarios in a regional Earth System Model P. Sieber et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-70284-8
- Forests support global crop supply through atmospheric moisture transport A. Pranindita et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-025-00518-4
- Global and regional hydrological impacts of global forest expansion J. King et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-3883-2024
- Amazonian deforestation makes the wet season wetter, and the dry season drier W. Thiery https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-025-00542-0
- Impact of Amazonian deforestation on precipitation reverses between seasons Y. Qin et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08570-y
- Deforestation-induced runoff changes dominated by forest-climate feedbacks S. Ma et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp3964
- Forest favours conditions for convective precipitation in the Mediterranean Basin J. Theeuwen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-6913-2025
- Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land cover and land management changes S. Guo et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-631-2025
- Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model Y. Moustakis et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52508-x
- Impacts of North American forest cover changes on the North Atlantic Ocean circulation V. Bauer et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-379-2025
- No compromise in efficiency from the co-application of a marine and a terrestrial CDR method Y. Moustakis et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59982-x
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 05 Jun 2026
Short summary
Changes in land use are crucial to achieve lower global warming. However, despite their importance, the effects of these changes on moisture fluxes are poorly understood. We analyse land cover and management scenarios in three climate models involving cropland expansion, afforestation, and irrigation. Results show largely consistent influences on moisture fluxes, with cropland expansion causing a drying and reduced local moisture recycling, while afforestation and irrigation show the opposite.
Changes in land use are crucial to achieve lower global warming. However, despite their...
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