Articles | Volume 13, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022
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16 May 2022
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 16 May 2022

Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios

Charles D. Koven, Vivek K. Arora, Patricia Cadule, Rosie A. Fisher, Chris D. Jones, David M. Lawrence, Jared Lewis, Keith Lindsay, Sabine Mathesius, Malte Meinshausen, Michael Mills, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Neil C. Swart, William R. Wieder, and Kirsten Zickfeld

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Latest update: 28 Mar 2024
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Short summary
We explore the long-term dynamics of Earth's climate and carbon cycles under a pair of contrasting scenarios to the year 2300 using six models that include both climate and carbon cycle dynamics. One scenario assumes very high emissions, while the second assumes a peak in emissions, followed by rapid declines to net negative emissions. We show that the models generally agree that warming is roughly proportional to carbon emissions but that many other aspects of the model projections differ.
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