Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
21 Sep 2022
Research article |
| 21 Sep 2022
| 21 Sep 2022
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models
Steven J. De Hertog
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Felix Havermann
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilians University Munich, Munich, Germany
Inne Vanderkelen
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilians University Munich, Munich, Germany
Institute for Environmental studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Iris Manola
Institute for Environmental studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Dim Coumou
Institute for Environmental studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Edouard L. Davin
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, Universität Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Gregory Duveiller
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Quentin Lejeune
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilians University Munich, Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Wim Thiery
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Editorial note: the authors uncovered errors in the data analysis beyond those already published in the corrigendum. Collectively, the errors affected several figures and the text, substantially compromising the scientific integrity of the article. The handling editor therefore recommended retraction of the article.
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Cited
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of compound dry and hot events in the Yellow River Basin under climate warming X. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05870-9
- TIMBER v0.1: a conceptual framework for emulating temperature responses to tree cover change S. Nath et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4283-2023
- Climate impacts of radiative forcing driven by agricultural land-use and land-cover changes in northern Canada E. Pashanejad et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.128201
- Modeling the effects of present-day irrigation on temperature extremes over China X. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1084892
- A comparison of the climate and carbon cycle effects of carbon removal by afforestation and an equivalent reduction in fossil fuel emissions K. Jayakrishnan & G. Bala https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-1863-2023
- Biogeochemical cooling offsets biogeophysical warming from land cover changes in China from 2000 to 2020 H. Zhong et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/2754124X261437704
- Diminished biophysical cooling benefits of global forestation under rising atmospheric CO2 F. Kan et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59547-y
- Combined impacts of climate and land-use change on future water resources in Africa C. Chawanda et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-117-2024
- Re-appraisal of the global climatic role of natural forests for improved climate projections and policies A. Makarieva et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2023.1150191
- Hydrometeorological response to afforestation in the UK: findings from a kilometer-scale climate model M. Buechel et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad4bf6
- Limited Mitigation Potential of Forestation Under a High Emissions Scenario: Results From Multi‐Model and Single Model Ensembles T. Loughran et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JG007605
- Biophysical Impacts of Global Deforestation on Near-Surface Air Temperature in China: Results from Land Use Model Intercomparison Project Simulations Y. Sui et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4149-z
- Impacts of warming on outdoor worker well-being in the tropics and adaptation options Y. Masuda et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.001
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of compound dry and hot events in the Yellow River Basin under climate warming X. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05870-9
- TIMBER v0.1: a conceptual framework for emulating temperature responses to tree cover change S. Nath et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4283-2023
- Climate impacts of radiative forcing driven by agricultural land-use and land-cover changes in northern Canada E. Pashanejad et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.128201
- Modeling the effects of present-day irrigation on temperature extremes over China X. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1084892
- A comparison of the climate and carbon cycle effects of carbon removal by afforestation and an equivalent reduction in fossil fuel emissions K. Jayakrishnan & G. Bala https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-1863-2023
- Biogeochemical cooling offsets biogeophysical warming from land cover changes in China from 2000 to 2020 H. Zhong et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/2754124X261437704
- Diminished biophysical cooling benefits of global forestation under rising atmospheric CO2 F. Kan et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59547-y
- Combined impacts of climate and land-use change on future water resources in Africa C. Chawanda et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-117-2024
- Re-appraisal of the global climatic role of natural forests for improved climate projections and policies A. Makarieva et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2023.1150191
- Hydrometeorological response to afforestation in the UK: findings from a kilometer-scale climate model M. Buechel et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad4bf6
- Limited Mitigation Potential of Forestation Under a High Emissions Scenario: Results From Multi‐Model and Single Model Ensembles T. Loughran et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JG007605
- Biophysical Impacts of Global Deforestation on Near-Surface Air Temperature in China: Results from Land Use Model Intercomparison Project Simulations Y. Sui et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4149-z
- Impacts of warming on outdoor worker well-being in the tropics and adaptation options Y. Masuda et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.001
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Short summary
Land cover and land management changes are important strategies for future land-based mitigation. We investigate the climate effects of cropland expansion, afforestation, irrigation, and wood harvesting using three Earth system models. Results show that these have important implications for surface temperature where the land cover and/or management change occurs and in remote areas. Idealized afforestation causes global warming, which might offset the cooling effect from enhanced carbon uptake.
Land cover and land management changes are important strategies for future land-based...
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