The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models

De Hertog, Steven J.; Havermann, Felix; Vanderkelen, Inne; Guo, Suqi; Luo, Fei; Manola, Iris; Coumou, Dim; Davin, Edouard L.; Duveiller, Gregory; Lejeune, Quentin; Pongratz, Julia; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Thiery, Wim

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022

Articles | Volume 13, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1305-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 13, issue 3

Research article

|

21 Sep 2022

Research article |

| 21 Sep 2022

The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models

Steven J. De Hertog, Felix Havermann, Inne Vanderkelen, Suqi Guo, Fei Luo, Iris Manola, Dim Coumou, Edouard L. Davin, Gregory Duveiller, Quentin Lejeune, Julia Pongratz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Wim Thiery

Editorial note: the authors uncovered errors in the data analysis beyond those already published in the corrigendum. Collectively, the errors affected several figures and the text, substantially compromising the scientific integrity of the article. The handling editor therefore recommended retraction of the article.

Model code and software

The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) (https://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm2/release_download.html) G. Danabasoglu, J. F. Lamarque, J. Bacmeister, D. A. Bailey, A. K. Du Vivier, J. Edwards, L. K. Emmons, J. Fasullo, R. Garcia, A. Gettelman, C. Hannay, M. M. Holland, W. G. Large, P. H. Lauritzen, D. M. Lawrence, J. T. Lenaerts, K. Lindsay, W. H. Lipscomb, M. J. Mills, R. Neale, K. W. Oleson, B. Otto-Bliesner, A. S. Phillips, W. Sacks, S. Tilmes, L. van Kampenhout, M. Vertenstein, A. Bertini, J. Dennis, C. Deser, C. Fischer, B. Fox-Kemper, J. E. Kay, D. Kinnison, P. J. Kushner, V. E. Larson, M. C. Long, S. Mickelson, J. K. Moore, E. Nienhouse, L. Polvani, P. J. Rasch, and W. G. Strand https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001916

VUB-HYDR/2022_De-Hertog_etal_ESD: Signal separation and analysis scripts (v1.0.0) S. J. De Hertog https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7081280

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Short summary

Land cover and land management changes are important strategies for future land-based mitigation. We investigate the climate effects of cropland expansion, afforestation, irrigation, and wood harvesting using three Earth system models. Results show that these have important implications for surface temperature where the land cover and/or management change occurs and in remote areas. Idealized afforestation causes global warming, which might offset the cooling effect from enhanced carbon uptake.