Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-745-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-745-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
30 Jun 2021
Research article |
| 30 Jun 2021
| 30 Jun 2021
Comparison of uncertainties in land-use change fluxes from bookkeeping model parameterisation
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Department of Biogeochemical Integration, 07745 Jena, Germany
Kerstin Hartung
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
now at: Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany
Tobias B. Nützel
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Julia E. M. S. Nabel
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Richard A. Houghton
Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02540, USA
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, 80333 Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
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Cited
31 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Land Use Effects on Climate: Current State, Recent Progress, and Emerging Topics J. Pongratz et al. 10.1007/s40641-021-00178-y
- Pantropical CO2 emissions and removals for the AFOLU sector in the period 1990–2018 S. Nyawira et al. 10.1007/s11027-023-10096-z
- Spatial and Temporal Variation and Prediction of Ecosystem Carbon Stocks in Yunnan Province Based on Land Use Change L. Li et al. 10.3390/ijerph192316059
- Characteristics of Spatial Correlation Network Structure and Carbon Balance Zoning of Land Use Carbon Emission in the Tarim River Basin Z. Gao et al. 10.3390/land13111952
- A 29-year time series of annual 300 m resolution plant-functional-type maps for climate models K. Harper et al. 10.5194/essd-15-1465-2023
- Land-use change emissions based on high-resolution activity data substantially lower than previously estimated R. Ganzenmüller et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac70d8
- Global Carbon Budget 2024 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-17-965-2025
- Influence of Land Ownership Security on Land Use Changes in Mwatate Sub-County, Taita Taveta County, Kenya B. Obeka et al. 10.1177/19400829241247798
- Tracking 21st century anthropogenic and natural carbon fluxes through model-data integration S. Bultan et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-32456-0
- Global Carbon Budget 2022 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022
- Effects of land use and cover change (LUCC) on terrestrial carbon stocks in China between 2000 and 2018 X. Chang et al. 10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106333
- Annual emissions of carbon from land use, land-use change, and forestry from 1850 to 2020 R. Houghton & A. Castanho 10.5194/essd-15-2025-2023
- Future land carbon removals in China consistent with national inventory Y. He et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-54846-2
- National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850 M. Jones et al. 10.1038/s41597-023-02041-1
- The consolidated European synthesis of CO2 emissions and removals for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2020 M. McGrath et al. 10.5194/essd-15-4295-2023
- Analysis of spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of carbon emission in Shandong Province: based on the perspective of land use J. Wu & K. Li 10.1186/s12302-024-01000-w
- Management-induced changes in soil organic carbon on global croplands K. Karstens et al. 10.5194/bg-19-5125-2022
- The Contribution of Saline-Alkali Land to the Terrestrial Carbon Stock Balance: The Case of an Important Agriculture and Ecological Region in Northeast China L. Chang et al. 10.3390/land13070900
- Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry W. Obermeier et al. 10.5194/essd-16-605-2024
- Global Carbon Budget 2021 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022
- Near real-time monitoring of carbon effects from continuous forest change in rapidly urbanizing region of China from 2000 to 2020 D. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.fecs.2025.100327
- A comprehensive and synthetic dataset for global, regional, and national greenhouse gas emissions by sector 1970–2018 with an extension to 2019 J. Minx et al. 10.5194/essd-13-5213-2021
- A new estimation of carbon emissions from land use and land cover change in China over the past 300 years F. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160963
- County-level land use carbon emissions in China: Spatiotemporal patterns and impact factors C. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105304
- Global Carbon Budget 2023 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-15-5301-2023
- On the use of Earth Observation to support estimates of national greenhouse gas emissions and sinks for the Global stocktake process: lessons learned from ESA-CCI RECCAP2 A. Bastos et al. 10.1186/s13021-022-00214-w
- Global spatially explicit carbon emissions from land-use change over the past six decades (1961–2020) Z. Qin et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.04.002
- Inconsistent Carbon Budget Estimation Using Dynamic/Static Carbon Density under Land Use and Land Cover Change: A Case Study in Henan Province, China F. Yang et al. 10.3390/land11122232
- Evaluate the differences in carbon sink contribution of different ecological engineering projects J. Zeng et al. 10.1007/s44246-024-00105-4
- Organic carbon sequestration in global croplands: evidenced through a bibliometric approach M. Abrar et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1495991
- Differences in land-based mitigation estimates reconciled by separating natural and land-use CO2 fluxes at the country level C. Schwingshackl et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.11.009
31 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Land Use Effects on Climate: Current State, Recent Progress, and Emerging Topics J. Pongratz et al. 10.1007/s40641-021-00178-y
- Pantropical CO2 emissions and removals for the AFOLU sector in the period 1990–2018 S. Nyawira et al. 10.1007/s11027-023-10096-z
- Spatial and Temporal Variation and Prediction of Ecosystem Carbon Stocks in Yunnan Province Based on Land Use Change L. Li et al. 10.3390/ijerph192316059
- Characteristics of Spatial Correlation Network Structure and Carbon Balance Zoning of Land Use Carbon Emission in the Tarim River Basin Z. Gao et al. 10.3390/land13111952
- A 29-year time series of annual 300 m resolution plant-functional-type maps for climate models K. Harper et al. 10.5194/essd-15-1465-2023
- Land-use change emissions based on high-resolution activity data substantially lower than previously estimated R. Ganzenmüller et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac70d8
- Global Carbon Budget 2024 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-17-965-2025
- Influence of Land Ownership Security on Land Use Changes in Mwatate Sub-County, Taita Taveta County, Kenya B. Obeka et al. 10.1177/19400829241247798
- Tracking 21st century anthropogenic and natural carbon fluxes through model-data integration S. Bultan et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-32456-0
- Global Carbon Budget 2022 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022
- Effects of land use and cover change (LUCC) on terrestrial carbon stocks in China between 2000 and 2018 X. Chang et al. 10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106333
- Annual emissions of carbon from land use, land-use change, and forestry from 1850 to 2020 R. Houghton & A. Castanho 10.5194/essd-15-2025-2023
- Future land carbon removals in China consistent with national inventory Y. He et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-54846-2
- National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850 M. Jones et al. 10.1038/s41597-023-02041-1
- The consolidated European synthesis of CO2 emissions and removals for the European Union and United Kingdom: 1990–2020 M. McGrath et al. 10.5194/essd-15-4295-2023
- Analysis of spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of carbon emission in Shandong Province: based on the perspective of land use J. Wu & K. Li 10.1186/s12302-024-01000-w
- Management-induced changes in soil organic carbon on global croplands K. Karstens et al. 10.5194/bg-19-5125-2022
- The Contribution of Saline-Alkali Land to the Terrestrial Carbon Stock Balance: The Case of an Important Agriculture and Ecological Region in Northeast China L. Chang et al. 10.3390/land13070900
- Country-level estimates of gross and net carbon fluxes from land use, land-use change and forestry W. Obermeier et al. 10.5194/essd-16-605-2024
- Global Carbon Budget 2021 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-14-1917-2022
- Near real-time monitoring of carbon effects from continuous forest change in rapidly urbanizing region of China from 2000 to 2020 D. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.fecs.2025.100327
- A comprehensive and synthetic dataset for global, regional, and national greenhouse gas emissions by sector 1970–2018 with an extension to 2019 J. Minx et al. 10.5194/essd-13-5213-2021
- A new estimation of carbon emissions from land use and land cover change in China over the past 300 years F. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160963
- County-level land use carbon emissions in China: Spatiotemporal patterns and impact factors C. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105304
- Global Carbon Budget 2023 P. Friedlingstein et al. 10.5194/essd-15-5301-2023
- On the use of Earth Observation to support estimates of national greenhouse gas emissions and sinks for the Global stocktake process: lessons learned from ESA-CCI RECCAP2 A. Bastos et al. 10.1186/s13021-022-00214-w
- Global spatially explicit carbon emissions from land-use change over the past six decades (1961–2020) Z. Qin et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.04.002
- Inconsistent Carbon Budget Estimation Using Dynamic/Static Carbon Density under Land Use and Land Cover Change: A Case Study in Henan Province, China F. Yang et al. 10.3390/land11122232
- Evaluate the differences in carbon sink contribution of different ecological engineering projects J. Zeng et al. 10.1007/s44246-024-00105-4
- Organic carbon sequestration in global croplands: evidenced through a bibliometric approach M. Abrar et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2025.1495991
- Differences in land-based mitigation estimates reconciled by separating natural and land-use CO2 fluxes at the country level C. Schwingshackl et al. 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.11.009
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Short summary
Fluxes from land-use change and management (FLUC) are a large source of uncertainty in global and regional carbon budgets. Here, we evaluate the impact of different model parameterisations on FLUC. We show that carbon stock densities and allocation of carbon following transitions contribute more to uncertainty in FLUC than response-curve time constants. Uncertainty in FLUC could thus, in principle, be reduced by available Earth-observation data on carbon densities at a global scale.
Fluxes from land-use change and management (FLUC) are a large source of uncertainty in global...
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