Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-17-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-17-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Jan 2021
Research article |
| 06 Jan 2021
| 06 Jan 2021
Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Sjoukje Y. Philip
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Mathias Hauser
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Mike Hobbins
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratories, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Niko Wanders
Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Karin van der Wiel
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Ted I. E. Veldkamp
Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Joyce Kimutai
Kenya Meteorological Department, Nairobi, Kenya
Chris Funk
U.S. Geological Survey Center for Earth Resources Observation and Science, Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA
Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, California, USA
Friederike E. L. Otto
School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
Viewed
Total article views: 8,365 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 24 May 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,370 | 1,840 | 155 | 8,365 | 443 | 157 | 151 |
- HTML: 6,370
- PDF: 1,840
- XML: 155
- Total: 8,365
- Supplement: 443
- BibTeX: 157
- EndNote: 151
Total article views: 6,858 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 06 Jan 2021)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,647 | 1,099 | 112 | 6,858 | 232 | 102 | 97 |
- HTML: 5,647
- PDF: 1,099
- XML: 112
- Total: 6,858
- Supplement: 232
- BibTeX: 102
- EndNote: 97
Total article views: 1,507 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 24 May 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723 | 741 | 43 | 1,507 | 211 | 55 | 54 |
- HTML: 723
- PDF: 741
- XML: 43
- Total: 1,507
- Supplement: 211
- BibTeX: 55
- EndNote: 54
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 8,365 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 7,869 with geography defined
and 496 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 6,858 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,437 with geography defined
and 421 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,507 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,432 with geography defined
and 75 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
46 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Uncertainty in Drought Identification Due to Data Choices, and the Value of Triangulation P. Borona et al. 10.3390/w13243611
- Quantifying the Effects of Climate Variability, Land-Use Changes, and Human Activities on Drought Based on the SWAT–PDSI Model Y. Zhu et al. 10.3390/rs14163895
- Meteorological Drought Assessment and Trend Analysis in Puntland Region of Somalia N. Muse et al. 10.3390/su151310652
- Farm income and food security under ex situ rainwater harvesting in Northern Ghana A. Abdallah 10.1108/JADEE-05-2024-0169
- Temperature and precipitation projections from CMIP6 for the Setif high plains in Northeast Algeria C. Chetioui & T. Bouregaa 10.1007/s12517-024-11854-2
- Assessing rainfall variability, long-term trends, and drought incidences in the Tanzania part of the Kagera River sub-basin N. Tibangayuka et al. 10.1007/s12145-025-01699-y
- Hyper-resolution PCR-GLOBWB: opportunities and challenges from refining model spatial resolution to 1 km over the European continent J. Hoch et al. 10.5194/hess-27-1383-2023
- Extreme climate events in sub-Saharan Africa: A call for improving agricultural technology transfer to enhance adaptive capacity A. Ayanlade et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100311
- Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution G. van Oldenborgh et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-03071-7
- Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability P. Palmer et al. 10.1038/s43017-023-00397-x
- Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts S. Ermis et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad4200
- Global Geospatial Data for Flood and Landslide Susceptibility Mapping S. Lee & R. Fatemeh 10.22761/GD.2023.0058
- The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS) L. Muntjewerf et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4581-2023
- Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer T. Beck et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00783-2
- Focal-TSMP: deep learning for vegetation health prediction and agricultural drought assessment from a regional climate simulation M. Shams Eddin & J. Gall 10.5194/gmd-17-2987-2024
- Quantifying agricultural drought in the Koshi River basin through soil moisture simulation P. Banjara et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102132
- Spatiotemporal trend analysis of precipitation, temperature, and soil moisture in selected agrarian locations within Nigeria—a comparative study B. Sasanya et al. 10.1007/s12517-024-12026-y
- Formally combining different lines of evidence in extreme-event attribution F. Otto et al. 10.5194/ascmo-10-159-2024
- Integrating a Disaster Displacement Dimension in Climate Change Attribution L. Thalheimer et al. 10.3390/meteorology1040029
- Attribution of Extreme Events to Climate Change F. Otto 10.1146/annurev-environ-112621-083538
- Observed Changes in Meteorological Drought Events during 1981–2020 over Rwanda, East Africa J. Uwimbabazi et al. 10.3390/su14031519
- Human-induced climate change increased 2021–2022 drought severity in horn of Africa J. Kimutai et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100745
- Systemic risk and compound vulnerability impact pathways of food insecurity in Somalia L. Thalheimer et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100570
- Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on Future Unprecedented Droughts in California: Insights From Multiple Indices and Multi‐Model Projections Z. Zhou et al. 10.1029/2023EF003856
- Limited role of climate change in extreme low rainfall associated with southern Madagascar food insecurity, 2019–21 L. Harrington et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/aca695
- Assessment of Atmospheric Reanalysis Data Based on Buoy Observations over the Tropical Western Indian Ocean in 2019 Y. Luo et al. 10.1007/s11802-023-5410-2
- Attribution of the human influence on heavy rainfall associated with flooding events during the 2012, 2016, and 2018 March-April-May seasons in Kenya J. Kimutai et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100529
- Extreme weather impacts of climate change: an attribution perspective B. Clarke et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ac6e7d
- Trends and Variability in Temperature and Related Extreme Indices in Rwanda during the Past Four Decades B. Safari & J. Sebaziga 10.3390/atmos14091449
- Spatiotemporal climate variability and trends in the Upper Gelana Watershed, northeastern highlands of Ethiopia S. Tadesse et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27274
- The impact of climate change on water resources and associated health risks in Bangladesh: A review A. Anik et al. 10.1016/j.wasec.2023.100133
- Changing fire regimes in East and Southern Africa’s savanna-protected areas: opportunities and challenges for indigenous-led savanna burning emissions abatement schemes A. Croker et al. 10.1186/s42408-023-00215-1
- Fat storage and drought tolerance in a seasonally‐adapted primate: Implications for modeling the effects of animal responses to global climate change C. Veilleux et al. 10.1002/inc3.65
- Projection of droughts in Amu river basin for shared socioeconomic pathways CMIP6 O. Salehie et al. 10.1007/s00704-022-04097-2
- Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021 S. Philip et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022
- Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods R. Pietroiusti et al. 10.5194/esd-15-225-2024
- Analysis of spatiotemporal surface water variability and drought conditions using remote sensing indices in the Kagera River Sub-Basin, Tanzania N. Tibangayuka et al. 10.1016/j.rsase.2024.101405
- Seasonal Prediction of Summer Precipitation over East Africa Using NUIST-CFS1.0 T. Asfaw & J. Luo 10.1007/s00376-021-1180-1
- Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 western–central European soil drought D. Schumacher et al. 10.5194/esd-15-131-2024
- Linking reported drought impacts with drought indices, water scarcity and aridity: the case of Kenya M. Lam et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2915-2023
- Analysis of the Observed Trends in Rainfall and Temperature Patterns in North-Eastern Nigeria D. Ishaku et al. 10.3390/cli12120219
- Agroecological concepts and alternatives to the problems of contemporary agriculture: Monoculture and chemical fertilization in the context of climate change Y. Elouattassi et al. 10.36253/jaeid-14672
- Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands S. Philip et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab97ca
- A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses S. Philip et al. 10.5194/ascmo-6-177-2020
- Deciphering Impacts and Human Responses to a Changing Climate in East Africa L. Thalheimer et al. 10.3389/fclim.2021.692114
- Investigating seasonal drought severity-area-frequency (SAF) curve over Indian region: incorporating GCM and scenario uncertainties S. Das et al. 10.1007/s00477-021-02073-2
42 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Uncertainty in Drought Identification Due to Data Choices, and the Value of Triangulation P. Borona et al. 10.3390/w13243611
- Quantifying the Effects of Climate Variability, Land-Use Changes, and Human Activities on Drought Based on the SWAT–PDSI Model Y. Zhu et al. 10.3390/rs14163895
- Meteorological Drought Assessment and Trend Analysis in Puntland Region of Somalia N. Muse et al. 10.3390/su151310652
- Farm income and food security under ex situ rainwater harvesting in Northern Ghana A. Abdallah 10.1108/JADEE-05-2024-0169
- Temperature and precipitation projections from CMIP6 for the Setif high plains in Northeast Algeria C. Chetioui & T. Bouregaa 10.1007/s12517-024-11854-2
- Assessing rainfall variability, long-term trends, and drought incidences in the Tanzania part of the Kagera River sub-basin N. Tibangayuka et al. 10.1007/s12145-025-01699-y
- Hyper-resolution PCR-GLOBWB: opportunities and challenges from refining model spatial resolution to 1 km over the European continent J. Hoch et al. 10.5194/hess-27-1383-2023
- Extreme climate events in sub-Saharan Africa: A call for improving agricultural technology transfer to enhance adaptive capacity A. Ayanlade et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100311
- Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution G. van Oldenborgh et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-03071-7
- Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability P. Palmer et al. 10.1038/s43017-023-00397-x
- Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts S. Ermis et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad4200
- Global Geospatial Data for Flood and Landslide Susceptibility Mapping S. Lee & R. Fatemeh 10.22761/GD.2023.0058
- The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS) L. Muntjewerf et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4581-2023
- Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer T. Beck et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00783-2
- Focal-TSMP: deep learning for vegetation health prediction and agricultural drought assessment from a regional climate simulation M. Shams Eddin & J. Gall 10.5194/gmd-17-2987-2024
- Quantifying agricultural drought in the Koshi River basin through soil moisture simulation P. Banjara et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102132
- Spatiotemporal trend analysis of precipitation, temperature, and soil moisture in selected agrarian locations within Nigeria—a comparative study B. Sasanya et al. 10.1007/s12517-024-12026-y
- Formally combining different lines of evidence in extreme-event attribution F. Otto et al. 10.5194/ascmo-10-159-2024
- Integrating a Disaster Displacement Dimension in Climate Change Attribution L. Thalheimer et al. 10.3390/meteorology1040029
- Attribution of Extreme Events to Climate Change F. Otto 10.1146/annurev-environ-112621-083538
- Observed Changes in Meteorological Drought Events during 1981–2020 over Rwanda, East Africa J. Uwimbabazi et al. 10.3390/su14031519
- Human-induced climate change increased 2021–2022 drought severity in horn of Africa J. Kimutai et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100745
- Systemic risk and compound vulnerability impact pathways of food insecurity in Somalia L. Thalheimer et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100570
- Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on Future Unprecedented Droughts in California: Insights From Multiple Indices and Multi‐Model Projections Z. Zhou et al. 10.1029/2023EF003856
- Limited role of climate change in extreme low rainfall associated with southern Madagascar food insecurity, 2019–21 L. Harrington et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/aca695
- Assessment of Atmospheric Reanalysis Data Based on Buoy Observations over the Tropical Western Indian Ocean in 2019 Y. Luo et al. 10.1007/s11802-023-5410-2
- Attribution of the human influence on heavy rainfall associated with flooding events during the 2012, 2016, and 2018 March-April-May seasons in Kenya J. Kimutai et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100529
- Extreme weather impacts of climate change: an attribution perspective B. Clarke et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ac6e7d
- Trends and Variability in Temperature and Related Extreme Indices in Rwanda during the Past Four Decades B. Safari & J. Sebaziga 10.3390/atmos14091449
- Spatiotemporal climate variability and trends in the Upper Gelana Watershed, northeastern highlands of Ethiopia S. Tadesse et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27274
- The impact of climate change on water resources and associated health risks in Bangladesh: A review A. Anik et al. 10.1016/j.wasec.2023.100133
- Changing fire regimes in East and Southern Africa’s savanna-protected areas: opportunities and challenges for indigenous-led savanna burning emissions abatement schemes A. Croker et al. 10.1186/s42408-023-00215-1
- Fat storage and drought tolerance in a seasonally‐adapted primate: Implications for modeling the effects of animal responses to global climate change C. Veilleux et al. 10.1002/inc3.65
- Projection of droughts in Amu river basin for shared socioeconomic pathways CMIP6 O. Salehie et al. 10.1007/s00704-022-04097-2
- Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021 S. Philip et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022
- Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods R. Pietroiusti et al. 10.5194/esd-15-225-2024
- Analysis of spatiotemporal surface water variability and drought conditions using remote sensing indices in the Kagera River Sub-Basin, Tanzania N. Tibangayuka et al. 10.1016/j.rsase.2024.101405
- Seasonal Prediction of Summer Precipitation over East Africa Using NUIST-CFS1.0 T. Asfaw & J. Luo 10.1007/s00376-021-1180-1
- Detecting the human fingerprint in the summer 2022 western–central European soil drought D. Schumacher et al. 10.5194/esd-15-131-2024
- Linking reported drought impacts with drought indices, water scarcity and aridity: the case of Kenya M. Lam et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2915-2023
- Analysis of the Observed Trends in Rainfall and Temperature Patterns in North-Eastern Nigeria D. Ishaku et al. 10.3390/cli12120219
- Agroecological concepts and alternatives to the problems of contemporary agriculture: Monoculture and chemical fertilization in the context of climate change Y. Elouattassi et al. 10.36253/jaeid-14672
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands S. Philip et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab97ca
- A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses S. Philip et al. 10.5194/ascmo-6-177-2020
- Deciphering Impacts and Human Responses to a Changing Climate in East Africa L. Thalheimer et al. 10.3389/fclim.2021.692114
- Investigating seasonal drought severity-area-frequency (SAF) curve over Indian region: incorporating GCM and scenario uncertainties S. Das et al. 10.1007/s00477-021-02073-2
Latest update: 10 May 2025
Short summary
Motivated by the possible influence of rising temperatures, this study synthesises results from observations and climate models to explore trends (1900–2018) in eastern African (EA) drought measures. However, no discernible trends are found in annual soil moisture or precipitation. Positive trends in potential evaporation indicate that for irrigated regions more water is now required to counteract increased evaporation. Precipitation deficit is, however, the most useful indicator of EA drought.
Motivated by the possible influence of rising temperatures, this study synthesises results from...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint