Articles | Volume 12, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1037-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1037-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Soil organic carbon dynamics from agricultural management practices under climate change
Tobias Herzfeld
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz
Association, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Jens Heinke
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz
Association, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Susanne Rolinski
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz
Association, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Christoph Müller
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz
Association, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
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- lpjmlkit: A toolkit for operating LPJmL and model-specific data processing J. Breier et al. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.05447
- Spatio-temporal mapping reveals changes in soil organic carbon stocks across the contiguous United States since 1955 C. Yang et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02605-6
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- Outlook on the knowledge gaps to conserve and increase soil organic carbon stocks Å. Almås et al. https://doi.org/10.3897/soils4europe.e149027
- Optimizing Sentinel-2 temporal composites for soil organic carbon mapping and cropland management insights X. Ji et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2026.104971
- Food matters: Dietary shifts increase the feasibility of 1.5°C pathways in line with the Paris Agreement F. Humpenöder et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3832
- Impact of straw return combined with different fertilizations on soil organic carbon stock in upland wheat and maize croplands in China: A meta-analysis M. Islam et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crope.2023.10.003
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- Combined application of nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizers increases soil organic carbon storage in cropland soils J. Tao & X. Liu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2025.127607
- Assessment of the Effects of Garlic (Allium sativum L.) Stalk Incorporation on Soil Fertility and Bacterial Biodiversity F. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants14050672
- Long-term effects of tillage practices and future climate scenarios on topsoil organic carbon stocks in Lower Austria – A modelling and long-term experiment study M. Toth et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2025.02.011
- Advances in Understanding Carbon Storage and Stabilization in Temperate Agricultural Soils A. Slepetiene et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15232489
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- Soil organic carbon and its' stock potential in different land-use types along slope position in Coka watershed, Southern Ethiopia T. Buraka et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10261
- Forecasting the Carbon Stock Dynamics in the Soils of Cultivated Croplands in European Russia in the Context of the Low-Carbon Development V. Romanenkov et al. https://doi.org/10.31857/S2587556623040106
- A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5 °C global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion B. Bodirsky et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01268-y
49 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics in the Long-Term Field Experiments with Contrasting Crop Rotations T. Šimon et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture14060818
- Understanding soil carbon durability: influencing factors, stabilization mechanisms, and research challenges N. Kerketta et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42398-026-00415-w
- Quantitative assessment of different straw management practices on soil organic carbon and crop yield in the Chinese upland soils: A data-driven approach based on simulation and prediction model M. Islam et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2024.127092
- Effect of Different Organic Amendment Supply on Young Bearing Walnut Trees Nutritional Status and Soil Fertility E. Baldi et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16020262
- Optimal straw return strategies for enhancing SOC, crop yield, and mitigating CO2 emissions in Chinese wheat and maize systems W. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2025.109982
- Modeling of soil organic carbon stock and sequestration potential in grassland and cropland in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: prediction and carbon management strategies based on different climate scenarios H. Gao et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.109545
- The role of cover crops for cropland soil carbon, nitrogen leaching, and agricultural yields – a global simulation study with LPJmL (V. 5.0-tillage-cc) V. Porwollik et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-957-2022
- Ecosystem multifunctionality is more related to the indirect effects than to the direct effects of human management in China's drylands W. Niu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122259
- Overcoming global inequality is critical for land-based mitigation in line with the Paris Agreement F. Humpenöder et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-35114-7
- Mapping and quantifying carbon stock in soil and tree biomass in a heterogeneous urban-rural landscape J. Amelin et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geodrs.2026.e01076
- Multi-decadal and regional validation of the AMG model at county and grid scales unravels the role of crop residue inputs in increasing soil organic carbon stocks in the Tuojiang River Basin, China Q. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2024.109092
- Spatial assessment of land use compensation potential for climate-based soil organic carbon stock losses in Poland by 2050 J. Coblinski & S. Pindral https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2026.110559
- Soil resilience to degradation in Poland by 2050 under climate and land use change J. Coblinski et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.109463
- Connecting competitor, stress-tolerator and ruderal (CSR) theory and Lund Potsdam Jena managed Land 5 (LPJmL 5) to assess the role of environmental conditions, management and functional diversity for grassland ecosystem functions S. Wirth et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-381-2024
- Soil organic carbon modeling in cropland under several climatic scenarios using machine learning in western India A. Adeel et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-35191-4
- The Dual Role of NPP in Mediating and Moderating Climate‐Soil Carbon Pathways Under Warming and Drought Across European Ecosystems Y. Lu et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70766
- A global dataset for the production and usage of cereal residues in the period 1997–2021 A. Smerald et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02587-0
- lpjmlkit: A toolkit for operating LPJmL and model-specific data processing J. Breier et al. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.05447
- Spatio-temporal mapping reveals changes in soil organic carbon stocks across the contiguous United States since 1955 C. Yang et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02605-6
- Root development as a driver of mineral-associated organic matter formation in cover crop systems of high-latitude agriculture T. Inagaki et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2025.109968
- Outlook on the knowledge gaps to conserve and increase soil organic carbon stocks Å. Almås et al. https://doi.org/10.3897/soils4europe.e149027
- Optimizing Sentinel-2 temporal composites for soil organic carbon mapping and cropland management insights X. Ji et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2026.104971
- Food matters: Dietary shifts increase the feasibility of 1.5°C pathways in line with the Paris Agreement F. Humpenöder et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3832
- Impact of straw return combined with different fertilizations on soil organic carbon stock in upland wheat and maize croplands in China: A meta-analysis M. Islam et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crope.2023.10.003
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- Modelling adaptation and transformative adaptation in cropping systems: recent advances and future directions A. Farrell et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2023.101265
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- Management-induced changes in soil organic carbon on global croplands K. Karstens et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-5125-2022
- Advancing life cycle assessment of bioenergy crops with global land use models A. Arvesen et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad97ac
- Crop Rotation and Diversification in China: Enhancing Sustainable Agriculture and Resilience Y. Zou et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture14091465
- Impacts of conservation tillage on soil organic carbon and crop yield in black soil region of Northeast China: integrated regulation by climate, management and soil properties B. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jafr.2025.102388
- Soil aggregate carbon stocks and sequestration efficiency under long-term fertilization across China’s croplands M. Cheng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2025.106828
- Historical and future dynamics of cropland soil organic carbon stocks in an intensive human-impacted area of southeastern China E. Xie et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2024.109098
- Projected climate change impacts on future soil organic carbon dynamics and wheat yields under different agricultural management strategies for two contrasting environments in Iran A. Gorooei et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-025-10242-9
- Towards a multilevel modelling framework for coproducing feasible and equitable portfolios of land-based climate mitigation technologies R. Schaldach et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-026-00353-7
- Combined application of nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizers increases soil organic carbon storage in cropland soils J. Tao & X. Liu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2025.127607
- Assessment of the Effects of Garlic (Allium sativum L.) Stalk Incorporation on Soil Fertility and Bacterial Biodiversity F. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants14050672
- Long-term effects of tillage practices and future climate scenarios on topsoil organic carbon stocks in Lower Austria – A modelling and long-term experiment study M. Toth et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2025.02.011
- Advances in Understanding Carbon Storage and Stabilization in Temperate Agricultural Soils A. Slepetiene et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15232489
- Biological nitrogen fixation of natural and agricultural vegetation simulated with LPJmL 5.7.9 S. Wirth et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7889-2024
- Soil organic carbon and its' stock potential in different land-use types along slope position in Coka watershed, Southern Ethiopia T. Buraka et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10261
- Forecasting the Carbon Stock Dynamics in the Soils of Cultivated Croplands in European Russia in the Context of the Low-Carbon Development V. Romanenkov et al. https://doi.org/10.31857/S2587556623040106
- A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5 °C global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion B. Bodirsky et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-025-01268-y
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
Soil organic carbon sequestration on cropland has been proposed as a climate change mitigation strategy. We simulate different agricultural management practices under climate change scenarios using a global biophysical model. We find that at the global aggregated level, agricultural management practices are not capable of enhancing total carbon storage in the soil, yet for some climate regions, we find that there is potential to enhance the carbon content in cropland soils.
Soil organic carbon sequestration on cropland has been proposed as a climate change mitigation...
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