Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1107-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-1107-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The extremely warm summer of 2018 in Sweden – set in a historical context
Renate Anna Irma Wilcke
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping,
Sweden
Erik Kjellström
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping,
Sweden
Department of Meteorology and the Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Changgui Lin
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping,
Sweden
Daniela Matei
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Anders Moberg
Department of Physical Geography and the Bolin Centre for Climate
Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Evangelos Tyrlis
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
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- The heat is on: sensitivity of goldsinny wrasse to global climate change D. Perry et al.
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- Strategies to remove hydrological effects in continuous gravity time series M. Mouyen
- Impact of Heat Stress on Oocyte Developmental Competence and Pre-Implantation Embryo Viability in Cattle J. Gómez-Guzmán et al.
- Exploring the sensitivity of extreme event attribution of two recent extreme weather events in Sweden using long-running meteorological observations E. Holmgren & E. Kjellström
- Assessing the impacts of physiography refinement on Stockholm summer urban temperature simulated with an offline land surface model F. Wang et al.
- Effects of stand structural attributes on oak recruitment in mixed temperate forests N. Pohl et al.
- Climatic variation drives loss and restructuring of carbon and nitrogen in boreal forest wildfire J. Eckdahl et al.
- Future changes of circulation types and their effects on surface air temperature and precipitation in the SMHI large ensemble F. Hansen et al.
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- AI-Based Anomaly Detection for Extreme Event Attribution: An Analysis of European Heatwaves P. Zaninelli et al.
- Construction of a national natural hazard interaction framework: The case of Sweden V. Sköld Gustafsson et al.
- Present and future heat stress of preschoolers in five Swedish cities N. Wallenberg et al.
- Increasing Trends of Heat Waves and Tropical Nights in Coastal Regions (The Case Study of Lithuania Seaside Cities) I. Dailidienė et al.
- Interactions of urban heat islands and heat waves in Swedish cities under present and future climates F. Wang et al.
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- Green and renewable resources: an assessment of sustainable energy solution for Far North Queensland, Australia M. Islam et al.
- Evaluating the cooling potential of a geothermal-assisted ventilation system for multi-family dwellings in the Scandinavian climate C. Wang et al.
- Present and future European heat wave magnitudes: climatologies, trends, and their associated uncertainties in GCM-RCM model chains C. Lin et al.
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- Forecasting heat-related impacts with multivariate multi-step time series models using advanced deep learning J. Kan et al.
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- Adaptation and Grain Yield Stability Analysis of Winter Wheat Cultivars with and Without Fungicides Treatment from National Variety Trials in Sweden A. Alemu et al.
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- Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events J. Bjerke et al.
- Assessing the Applicability of Offline Land Surface Model with Physiography Refinement for a Heatwave Simulation Over Stockholm F. Wang et al.
- Multi-hazards in Scandinavia: impacts and risks from compound heatwaves, droughts and wildfires G. Ducros et al.
- Regional climate affects habitat preferences and thermal sums required for development of the Eurasian spruce bark beetle, Ips typographus L. Lindman et al.
- Forest structure, roads and soil moisture provide realistic predictions of fire spread in modern Swedish landscape S. Jones et al.
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- Contributions from Changing Large-Scale Atmospheric Conditions to Changes in Scandinavian Temperature and Precipitation Between Two Climate Normals E. Kjellström et al.
- Identifying regional hotspots of heatwaves, droughts, floods, and their co-occurrences M. Vieira Passos et al.
- Outdoor heat stress at preschools during an extreme summer in Gothenburg, Sweden - Preschool teachers’ experiences contextualized by radiation modelling O. Bäcklin et al.
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Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 02 May 2026
Short summary
Two long-lasting high-pressure systems in summer 2018 led to heat waves over Scandinavia and an extended summer period with devastating impacts on both agriculture and human life. Using five climate model ensembles, the unique 263-year Stockholm temperature time series and a composite 150-year time series for the whole of Sweden, we found that anthropogenic climate change has strongly increased the probability of a warm summer, such as the one observed in 2018, occurring in Sweden.
Two long-lasting high-pressure systems in summer 2018 led to heat waves over Scandinavia and an...
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