The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with ESD-related topics, the recent preprints posted in ESD’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in ESD.
15 Oct 2024
| Highlight paper
Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models
Abigail Snyder, Noah Prime, Claudia Tebaldi, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1301–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024, 2024
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15 Oct 2024
ESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot matters
Paul David Longden Ritchie, Chris Huntingford, and Peter Cox
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3023,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3023, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Oct 2024
Diagnosing Aerosol-Meteorological Interactions on Snow within the Earth System: A Proof-of-Concept Study over High Mountain Asia
Chayan Roychoudhury, Cenlin He, Rajesh Kumar, and Avelino F. Arellano Jr.
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2298, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Oct 2024
A causality-based method for multi-model comparison: Application to relationships between atmospheric and marine biogeochemical variables
Germain Bénard, Marion Gehlen, and Mathieu Vrac
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-31, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Oct 2024
Ensemble design for seasonal climate predictions: Studying extreme Arctic sea ice lows with a rare event algorithm
Jerome Sauer, Francesco Ragone, François Massonnet, and Giuseppe Zappa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3082,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3082, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Oct 2024
Influence of Floodplains and Groundwater Dynamics on the Present-Day Climate simulated by the CNRM Model
Bertrand Decharme and Jeanne Colin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3091,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3091, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Oct 2024
Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming
Erwin Lambert, Dewi Le Bars, Eveline van der Linden, André Jüling, and Sybren Drijfhout
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2257,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2257, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2024
Snowball Earth transitions from Last Glacial Maximum conditions provide an independent upper limit on Earth’s climate sensitivity
Martin Renoult, Navjit Sagoo, Johannes Hörner, and Thorsten Mauritsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2981, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Sep 2024
An enhanced Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) drought-monitoring method integrating land surface characteristics
Liqing Peng, Justin Sheffield, Zhongwang Wei, Michael Ek, and Eric F. Wood
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1277–1300, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024, 2024
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27 Sep 2024
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake
Raffaele Bernardello, Valentina Sicardi, Vladimir Lapin, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Etienne Tourigny, and Eric Ferrer
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1255–1275, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024, 2024
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23 Sep 2024
The visible and hidden climatic effects on Earth's denudation
Ivan Vergara, Fernanda Santibañez, René Garreaud, and Germán Aguilar
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-27,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-27, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Sep 2024
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, and Jonathan F. Donges
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Sep 2024
Projected changes in land carbon store over the 21st century: what contributions from land use change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition?
Jaime A. Riano Sanchez, Nicolas Vuichard, and Philippe Peylin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1227–1253, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1227-2024, 2024
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12 Sep 2024
| ESD Letters
Climatology and trends of concurrent temperature extremes in the global extratropics
Gabriele Messori, Antonio Segalini, and Alexandre M. Ramos
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1207–1225, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1207-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1207-2024, 2024
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10 Sep 2024
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, Jesse F. Abrams, James G. Dyke, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, and Bryan M. Spears
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1179–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024, 2024
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06 Sep 2024
Potential for Equation Discovery with AI in the Climate Sciences
Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Nicoll, Cornelia Klein, and Jawairia A. Ahmad
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-30,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-30, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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06 Sep 2024
Constraining uncertainty in projected precipitation over land with causal discovery
Kevin Debeire, Lisa Bock, Peer Nowack, Jakob Runge, and Veronika Eyring
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2656,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2656, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Sep 2024
Change in negative emission burden between an overshoot versus peak-shaved Stratospheric Aerosol Injections pathway
Susanne Baur, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, and Laurent Terray
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2344,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2344, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Sep 2024
Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes
Yigit Uckan, Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez, Kelley De Polt, and René Orth
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2540,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2540, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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28 Aug 2024
Estimating lateral nitrogen transfer through the global river network using a land surface model
Minna Ma, Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Philippe Ciais, and Pierre Regnier
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-29,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-29, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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27 Aug 2024
Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6
Amali A. Amali, Clemens Schwingshackl, Akihiko Ito, Alina Barbu, Christine Delire, Daniele Peano, David M. Lawrence, David Wårlind, Eddy Robertson, Edouard L. Davin, Elena Shevliakova, Ian N. Harman, Nicolas Vuichard, Paul A. Miller, Peter J. Lawrence, Tilo Ziehn, Tomohiro Hajima, Victor Brovkin, Yanwu Zhang, Vivek K. Arora, and Julia Pongratz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2460,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2460, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Aug 2024
Storylines of summer Arctic climate change constrained by Barents–Kara seas and Arctic tropospheric warming for climate risk assessment
Xavier J. Levine, Ryan S. Williams, Gareth Marshall, Andrew Orr, Lise Seland Graff, Dörthe Handorf, Alexey Karpechko, Raphael Köhler, René R. Wijngaard, Nadine Johnston, Hanna Lee, Lars Nieradzik, and Priscilla A. Mooney
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1161–1177, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1161-2024, 2024
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26 Aug 2024
| Highlight paper
Cautionary remarks on the planetary boundary visualisation
Miguel D. Mahecha, Guido Kraemer, and Fabio Crameri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1153–1159, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1153-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1153-2024, 2024
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22 Aug 2024
Consistent increase in East Asian Summer Monsoon rainfall and its variability under climate change over China in CMIP6
Anja Katzenberger and Anders Levermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1137–1151, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1137-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1137-2024, 2024
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22 Aug 2024
Impact of Greenland Ice Sheet Disintegration on Atmosphere and Ocean Disentangled
Malena Andernach, Marie-Luise Kapsch, and Uwe Mikolajewicz
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-24,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2024-24, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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19 Aug 2024
| Highlight paper
Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems
Vasilis Dakos, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Jesse F. Abrams, Beatriz Arellano-Nava, David I. Armstrong McKay, Sebastian Bathiany, Lana Blaschke, Niklas Boers, Daniel Dylewsky, Carlos López-Martínez, Isobel Parry, Paul Ritchie, Bregje van der Bolt, Larissa van der Laan, Els Weinans, and Sonia Kéfi
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1117–1135, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024, 2024
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19 Aug 2024
Future land-use pattern projections and their differences within the ISIMIP3b framework
Edna Johanna Molina Bacca, Miodrag Stevanović, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jonathan C. Doelman, Louise Parsons Chini, Jan Volkholz, Katja Frieler, Christopher Reyer, George Hurtt, Florian Humpenöder, Kristine Karstens, Jens Heinke, Christoph Müller, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Elke Stehfest, and Alexander Popp
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2441,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2441, 2024
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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16 Aug 2024
Regionally optimized high-resolution input datasets enhance the representation of snow cover in CLM5
Johanna Teresa Malle, Giulia Mazzotti, Dirk Nikolaus Karger, and Tobias Jonas
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1073–1115, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1073-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1073-2024, 2024
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