TY - JOUR A1 - Huntingford, C. A1 - Yang, H. A1 - Harper, A. A1 - Cox, P. M. A1 - Gedney, N. A1 - Burke, E. J. A1 - Lowe, J. A. A1 - Hayman, G. A1 - Collins, W. J. A1 - Smith, S. M. A1 - Comyn-Platt, E. T1 - Flexible parameter-sparse global temperature time profiles that stabilise at 1.5 and 2.0  °C JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 8 IS - 3 SP - 617 EP - 626 Y1 - 2017/07/14 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/8/617/2017/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/8/617/2017/esd-8-617-2017.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-8-617-2017 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sanderson, B. M. A1 - Xu, Y. A1 - Tebaldi, C. A1 - Wehner, M. A1 - O'Neill, B. A1 - Jahn, A. A1 - Pendergrass, A. G. A1 - Lehner, F. A1 - Strand, W. G. A1 - Lin, L. A1 - Knutti, R. A1 - Lamarque, J. F. T1 - Community climate simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 and 2  °C futures JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 8 IS - 3 SP - 827 EP - 847 Y1 - 2017/09/19 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/8/827/2017/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/8/827/2017/esd-8-827-2017.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-8-827-2017 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ehlert, D. A1 - Zickfeld, K. T1 - Irreversible ocean thermal expansion under carbon dioxide removal JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 1 SP - 197 EP - 210 Y1 - 2018/03/05 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/197/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/197/2018/esd-9-197-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-197-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Parkes, B. A1 - Defrance, D. A1 - Sultan, B. A1 - Ciais, P. A1 - Wang, X. T1 - Projected changes in crop yield mean and variability over West Africa in a world 1.5 K warmer than the pre-industrial era JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 1 SP - 119 EP - 134 Y1 - 2018/02/20 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/119/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/119/2018/esd-9-119-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-119-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Liu, W. A1 - Sun, F. A1 - Lim, W. H. A1 - Zhang, J. A1 - Wang, H. A1 - Shiogama, H. A1 - Zhang, Y. T1 - Global drought and severe drought-affected populations in 1.5 and 2 °C warmer worlds JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 1 SP - 267 EP - 283 Y1 - 2018/03/19 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/267/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/267/2018/esd-9-267-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-267-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wehner, M. A1 - Stone, D. A1 - Mitchell, D. A1 - Shiogama, H. A1 - Fischer, E. A1 - Graff, L. S. A1 - Kharin, V. V. A1 - Lierhammer, L. A1 - Sanderson, B. A1 - Krishnan, H. T1 - Changes in extremely hot days under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the HAPPI multi-model ensemble JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 1 SP - 299 EP - 311 Y1 - 2018/03/28 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/299/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/299/2018/esd-9-299-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-299-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Battaglia, G. A1 - Joos, F. T1 - Hazards of decreasing marine oxygen: the near-term and millennial-scale benefits of meeting the Paris climate targets JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 797 EP - 816 Y1 - 2018/06/13 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/797/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/797/2018/esd-9-797-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-797-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wang, A. A1 - Xu, L. A1 - Kong, X. T1 - Assessments of the Northern Hemisphere snow cover response to 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 865 EP - 877 Y1 - 2018/06/21 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/865/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/865/2018/esd-9-865-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-865-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhai, R. A1 - Tao, F. A1 - Xu, Z. T1 - Spatial–temporal changes in runoff and terrestrial ecosystem water retention under 1.5 and 2 °C warming scenarios across China JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 717 EP - 738 Y1 - 2018/06/07 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/717/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/717/2018/esd-9-717-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-717-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Chen, Y. A1 - Zhang, Z. A1 - Tao, F. T1 - Impacts of climate change and climate extremes on major crops productivity in China at a global warming of 1.5 and 2.0 °C JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 543 EP - 562 Y1 - 2018/05/18 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/543/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/543/2018/esd-9-543-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-543-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Chen, J. A1 - Liu, Y. A1 - Pan, T. A1 - Liu, Y. A1 - Sun, F. A1 - Ge, Q. T1 - Population exposure to droughts in China under the 1.5 °C global warming target JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 3 SP - 1097 EP - 1106 Y1 - 2018/08/29 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/1097/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/1097/2018/esd-9-1097-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-1097-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wehner, M. F. A1 - Reed, K. A. A1 - Loring, B. A1 - Stone, D. A1 - Krishnan, H. T1 - Changes in tropical cyclones under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model under the HAPPI protocols JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 1 SP - 187 EP - 195 Y1 - 2018/02/28 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/187/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/187/2018/esd-9-187-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-187-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Heinke, J. A1 - Müller, C. A1 - Lannerstad, M. A1 - Gerten, D. A1 - Lucht, W. T1 - Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 10 IS - 2 SP - 205 EP - 217 Y1 - 2019/04/02 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/10/205/2019/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/10/205/2019/esd-10-205-2019.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-10-205-2019 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rückamp, M. A1 - Falk, U. A1 - Frieler, K. A1 - Lange, S. A1 - Humbert, A. T1 - The effect of overshooting 1.5 °C global warming on the mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 4 SP - 1169 EP - 1189 Y1 - 2018/10/09 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/1169/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/1169/2018/esd-9-1169-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-1169-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kjellström, E. A1 - Nikulin, G. A1 - Strandberg, G. A1 - Christensen, O. B. A1 - Jacob, D. A1 - Keuler, K. A1 - Lenderink, G. A1 - van Meijgaard, E. A1 - Schär, C. A1 - Somot, S. A1 - Sørland, S. L. A1 - Teichmann, C. A1 - Vautard, R. T1 - European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 459 EP - 478 Y1 - 2018/05/09 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/459/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/459/2018/esd-9-459-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-459-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Palter, J. B. A1 - Frölicher, T. L. A1 - Paynter, D. A1 - John, J. G. T1 - Climate, ocean circulation, and sea level changes under stabilization and overshoot pathways to 1.5 K warming JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 817 EP - 828 Y1 - 2018/06/13 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/817/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/817/2018/esd-9-817-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-817-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Barcikowska, M. J. A1 - Weaver, S. J. A1 - Feser, F. A1 - Russo, S. A1 - Schenk, F. A1 - Stone, D. A. A1 - Wehner, M. F. A1 - Zahn, M. T1 - Euro-Atlantic winter storminess and precipitation extremes under 1.5 °C vs. 2 °C warming scenarios JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 679 EP - 699 Y1 - 2018/06/05 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/679/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/679/2018/esd-9-679-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-679-2018 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Li, C. A1 - Michel, C. A1 - Seland Graff, L. A1 - Bethke, I. A1 - Zappa, G. A1 - Bracegirdle, T. J. A1 - Fischer, E. A1 - Harvey, B. J. A1 - Iversen, T. A1 - King, M. P. A1 - Krishnan, H. A1 - Lierhammer, L. A1 - Mitchell, D. A1 - Scinocca, J. A1 - Shiogama, H. A1 - Stone, D. A. A1 - Wettstein, J. J. T1 - Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming and implications for regional impacts JO - Earth Syst. Dynam. J1 - ESD VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 359 EP - 382 Y1 - 2018/04/16 PB - Copernicus Publications SN - 2190-4987 UR - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/359/2018/ L1 - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/9/359/2018/esd-9-359-2018.pdf DO - 10.5194/esd-9-359-2018 ER -