Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-441-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-441-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Research article
 | 
03 May 2018
Research article |  | 03 May 2018

A global assessment of gross and net land change dynamics for current conditions and future scenarios

Richard Fuchs, Reinhard Prestele, and Peter H. Verburg

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Short summary
We analysed current global land change dynamics based on high-resolution (30–100 m) remote sensing products. We integrated these empirical data into a future simulation model to assess global land change dynamics in the future (2000 to 2040). The consideration of empirically derived land change dynamics in future models led globally to ca. 50 % more land changes than currently assumed in state-of-the-art models. This impacts the results of other global change studies (e.g. climate change).
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