Articles | Volume 15, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
30 Oct 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 30 Oct 2024
| 30 Oct 2024
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Andrew D. King
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Tilo Ziehn
CSIRO Environment, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
Matthew Chamberlain
CSIRO Environment, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
Alexander R. Borowiak
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Josephine R. Brown
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Liam Cassidy
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Andrea J. Dittus
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Michael Grose
CSIRO Environment, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
Nicola Maher
Research School of Earth Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Seungmok Paik
Irreversible Climate Change Research Center, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea
Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick
School of Science, UNSW Canberra, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Aditya Sengupta
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
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Total article views: 13,109 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Total article views: 9,338 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 9,190 with geography defined
and 148 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 3,771 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 3,771 with geography defined
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Cited
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries P. Roldán-Gómez et al.
- Emerging evidence of abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment N. Abram et al.
- Heatwaves in a net zero World S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick et al.
- ESD Ideas: Extended net zero simulations are critical for informed decision making A. King et al.
- Reversal of extreme precipitation trends over the Northeast US in response to aggressive climate mitigation in GFDL SPEAR B. Jong et al.
- Southern Annular Mode dynamics, projections and impacts in a changing climate A. Purich et al.
- Enhancing communication of climate changes under net zero emissions A. King et al.
- Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making N. Abram et al.
- The pace of meeting carbon emission targets alters regional climate risks I. Park et al.
- Future precipitation projections and model evaluation in the Hengduan Mountains based on CMIP6 Z. Hu et al.
- Revised estimates of temperature changes under net zero CO2 emissions A. Borowiak et al.
- European heat extremes under net-zero emissions E. Alastrué de Asenjo et al.
- Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots F. Lacroix et al.
- Multi scale copula analysis of hot–dry dependence across Australia K. Haddad
- Multi-century global and regional sea-level rise commitments from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades A. Nauels et al.
- The carbon and climate impacts of forestation in Australia T. Loughran et al.
- Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5 °C L. Schuster et al.
- Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels M. Cui et al.
- Climate science for 2050 G. Brasseur et al.
- Multi-centennial climate change in a warming world beyond 2100 S. Lee et al.
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries P. Roldán-Gómez et al.
- Emerging evidence of abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment N. Abram et al.
- Heatwaves in a net zero World S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick et al.
- ESD Ideas: Extended net zero simulations are critical for informed decision making A. King et al.
- Reversal of extreme precipitation trends over the Northeast US in response to aggressive climate mitigation in GFDL SPEAR B. Jong et al.
- Southern Annular Mode dynamics, projections and impacts in a changing climate A. Purich et al.
- Enhancing communication of climate changes under net zero emissions A. King et al.
- Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making N. Abram et al.
- The pace of meeting carbon emission targets alters regional climate risks I. Park et al.
- Future precipitation projections and model evaluation in the Hengduan Mountains based on CMIP6 Z. Hu et al.
- Revised estimates of temperature changes under net zero CO2 emissions A. Borowiak et al.
- European heat extremes under net-zero emissions E. Alastrué de Asenjo et al.
- Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots F. Lacroix et al.
- Multi scale copula analysis of hot–dry dependence across Australia K. Haddad
- Multi-century global and regional sea-level rise commitments from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades A. Nauels et al.
- The carbon and climate impacts of forestation in Australia T. Loughran et al.
- Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5 °C L. Schuster et al.
- Permafrost response and feedback under temperature stabilization and overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels M. Cui et al.
- Climate science for 2050 G. Brasseur et al.
- Multi-centennial climate change in a warming world beyond 2100 S. Lee et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 14 May 2026
Editorial statement
The paper reveals previously-unexplored behaviours of the Earth system and illustrates how some impacts of climate change will continue to increase even after emissions become net zero. These results highlight the urgency of both achieving net zero emissions and of conducting long-term adaptation planning.
The paper reveals previously-unexplored behaviours of the Earth system and illustrates how some...
Short summary
Governments are targeting net-zero emissions later this century with the aim of limiting global warming in line with the Paris Agreement. However, few studies explore the long-term consequences of reaching net-zero emissions and the effects of a delay in reaching net-zero. We use the Australian Earth system model to examine climate evolution under net-zero emissions. We find substantial changes which differ regionally, including continued Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic sea ice reduction.
Governments are targeting net-zero emissions later this century with the aim of limiting global...
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