Articles | Volume 15, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
30 Oct 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 30 Oct 2024
| 30 Oct 2024
Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5
Andrew D. King
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Tilo Ziehn
CSIRO Environment, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia
Matthew Chamberlain
CSIRO Environment, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
Alexander R. Borowiak
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Josephine R. Brown
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Liam Cassidy
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Andrea J. Dittus
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Michael Grose
CSIRO Environment, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
Nicola Maher
Research School of Earth Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Seungmok Paik
Irreversible Climate Change Research Center, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea
Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick
School of Science, UNSW Canberra, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
Aditya Sengupta
School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Australia
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Total article views: 5,471 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Total article views: 1,375 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Cited
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries P. Roldán-Gómez et al. 10.5194/esd-16-1-2025
- Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots F. Lacroix et al. 10.1029/2024EF004862
- Future precipitation projections and model evaluation in the Hengduan Mountains based on CMIP6 Z. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125378
- Climate Stabilisation Under Net Zero CO2 Emissions A. Borowiak et al. 10.1029/2024EF005678
- The Impacts of an AMOC Slowdown on Southern Hemisphere and Australian Climates at 8.2 ka in ACCESS‐ESM1.5 Model Y. Du et al. 10.1029/2024JD042432
- Little evidence of hysteresis in regional precipitation, when indexed by global temperature rise and fall in an overshoot climate simulation J. Walton & C. Huntingford 10.1088/1748-9326/ad60de
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional irreversibility of mean and extreme surface air temperature and precipitation in CMIP6 overshoot scenarios associated with interhemispheric temperature asymmetries P. Roldán-Gómez et al. 10.5194/esd-16-1-2025
- Persistently Elevated High‐Latitude Ocean Temperatures and Global Sea Level Following Temporary Temperature Overshoots F. Lacroix et al. 10.1029/2024EF004862
- Future precipitation projections and model evaluation in the Hengduan Mountains based on CMIP6 Z. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125378
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate Stabilisation Under Net Zero CO2 Emissions A. Borowiak et al. 10.1029/2024EF005678
- The Impacts of an AMOC Slowdown on Southern Hemisphere and Australian Climates at 8.2 ka in ACCESS‐ESM1.5 Model Y. Du et al. 10.1029/2024JD042432
- Little evidence of hysteresis in regional precipitation, when indexed by global temperature rise and fall in an overshoot climate simulation J. Walton & C. Huntingford 10.1088/1748-9326/ad60de
Latest update: 06 May 2025
Chief editor
The paper reveals previously-unexplored behaviours of the Earth system and illustrates how some impacts of climate change will continue to increase even after emissions become net zero. These results highlight the urgency of both achieving net zero emissions and of conducting long-term adaptation planning.
The paper reveals previously-unexplored behaviours of the Earth system and illustrates how some...
Short summary
Governments are targeting net-zero emissions later this century with the aim of limiting global warming in line with the Paris Agreement. However, few studies explore the long-term consequences of reaching net-zero emissions and the effects of a delay in reaching net-zero. We use the Australian Earth system model to examine climate evolution under net-zero emissions. We find substantial changes which differ regionally, including continued Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic sea ice reduction.
Governments are targeting net-zero emissions later this century with the aim of limiting global...
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