Articles | Volume 14, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-629-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-629-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Jun 2023
Research article |
| 06 Jun 2023
| 06 Jun 2023
The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models
Steven J. De Hertog
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Felix Havermann
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
Inne Vanderkelen
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
Suqi Guo
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental studies, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Iris Manola
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental studies, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Dim Coumou
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental studies, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Edouard L. Davin
Wyss Academy for Nature, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Climate and Environmental Physics division, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Gregory Duveiller
Max-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Quentin Lejeune
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Julia Pongratz
Department of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Sonia I. Seneviratne
ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland.
Wim Thiery
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
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- Tropical cyclone risk for global ecosystems in a changing climate C. Kropf et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02194-w
- The biophysical effect of loss of different forests on land surface temperature in idealized deforestation experiment Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05423-0
- No compromise in efficiency from the co-application of a marine and a terrestrial CDR method Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-59982-x
- Decreased cloud cover partially offsets the cooling effects of surface albedo change due to deforestation H. Luo et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51783-y
- Bridging the gap: a new module for human water use in the Community Earth System Model version 2.2.1 S. Taranu et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-7365-2024
- Leveraging atmospheric moisture recycling in Saudi Arabia and neighboring countries for irrigation and afforestation planning M. Zampieri et al. 10.1007/s10113-024-02284-7
- Impacts of irrigation expansion on moist-heat stress based on IRRMIP results Y. Yao et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-56356-1
- Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6 A. Amali et al. 10.5194/esd-16-803-2025
- Recent changes in spatiotemporal patterns of heat extremes in South Asia A. Banerjee et al. 10.1038/s41612-025-01146-1
- Impacts of North American forest cover changes on the North Atlantic Ocean circulation V. Bauer et al. 10.5194/esd-16-379-2025
- Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-52508-x
- Observed and simulated local climate responses to tropical deforestation C. Smith et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf0da
- Amazon deforestation causes strong regional warming E. Butt et al. 10.1073/pnas.2309123120
- Conversion from coniferous to broadleaved trees can make European forests more climate-effective Y. Yao et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-64580-y
- Land use change and its driving factors in the ecological function area: A case study in the Hedong Region of the Gansu Province, China Z. Wei et al. 10.1007/s40333-024-0001-7
- Overconfidence in climate overshoot C. Schleussner et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9
- Mato Grosso’s rainy season: past, present, and future trends justify immediate action L. Commar et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8588
- Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land cover and land management changes S. Guo et al. 10.5194/esd-16-631-2025
- Struggling over water, losing it through evaporation: The case of Afghanistan and Iran H. Nevermann et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124319
- A practical exploration of land cover impacts on surface and air temperature when they are most consequential K. Novick & M. Barnes 10.1088/2752-5295/accdf9
- Changes in Land Cover and Management Affect Heat Stress and Labor Capacity A. Orlov et al. 10.1029/2022EF002909
- Neglected implications of land-use and land-cover changes on the climate-health nexus A. Orlov et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd799
- Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle S. De Hertog et al. 10.5194/esd-15-265-2024
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Compounding future escalation of emissions- and irrigation-induced increases in humid-heat stress Y. Yao et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-64375-1
- Net-zero approaches must consider Earth system impacts to achieve climate goals K. Zickfeld et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01862-7
- Tropical cyclone risk for global ecosystems in a changing climate C. Kropf et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02194-w
- The biophysical effect of loss of different forests on land surface temperature in idealized deforestation experiment Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00704-025-05423-0
- No compromise in efficiency from the co-application of a marine and a terrestrial CDR method Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-59982-x
- Decreased cloud cover partially offsets the cooling effects of surface albedo change due to deforestation H. Luo et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51783-y
- Bridging the gap: a new module for human water use in the Community Earth System Model version 2.2.1 S. Taranu et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-7365-2024
- Leveraging atmospheric moisture recycling in Saudi Arabia and neighboring countries for irrigation and afforestation planning M. Zampieri et al. 10.1007/s10113-024-02284-7
- Impacts of irrigation expansion on moist-heat stress based on IRRMIP results Y. Yao et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-56356-1
- Biogeochemical versus biogeophysical temperature effects of historical land-use change in CMIP6 A. Amali et al. 10.5194/esd-16-803-2025
- Recent changes in spatiotemporal patterns of heat extremes in South Asia A. Banerjee et al. 10.1038/s41612-025-01146-1
- Impacts of North American forest cover changes on the North Atlantic Ocean circulation V. Bauer et al. 10.5194/esd-16-379-2025
- Temperature overshoot responses to ambitious forestation in an Earth System Model Y. Moustakis et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-52508-x
- Observed and simulated local climate responses to tropical deforestation C. Smith et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acf0da
- Amazon deforestation causes strong regional warming E. Butt et al. 10.1073/pnas.2309123120
- Conversion from coniferous to broadleaved trees can make European forests more climate-effective Y. Yao et al. 10.1038/s41467-025-64580-y
- Land use change and its driving factors in the ecological function area: A case study in the Hedong Region of the Gansu Province, China Z. Wei et al. 10.1007/s40333-024-0001-7
- Overconfidence in climate overshoot C. Schleussner et al. 10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9
- Mato Grosso’s rainy season: past, present, and future trends justify immediate action L. Commar et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8588
- Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land cover and land management changes S. Guo et al. 10.5194/esd-16-631-2025
- Struggling over water, losing it through evaporation: The case of Afghanistan and Iran H. Nevermann et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124319
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A practical exploration of land cover impacts on surface and air temperature when they are most consequential K. Novick & M. Barnes 10.1088/2752-5295/accdf9
- Changes in Land Cover and Management Affect Heat Stress and Labor Capacity A. Orlov et al. 10.1029/2022EF002909
- Neglected implications of land-use and land-cover changes on the climate-health nexus A. Orlov et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd799
- Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle S. De Hertog et al. 10.5194/esd-15-265-2024
Latest update: 03 Nov 2025
Short summary
Land cover and land management changes are important strategies for future land-based mitigation. We investigate the climate effects of cropland expansion, afforestation, irrigation and wood harvesting using three Earth system models. Results show that these have important implications for surface temperature where the land cover and/or management change occur and in remote areas. Idealized afforestation causes global warming, which might offset the cooling effect from enhanced carbon uptake.
Land cover and land management changes are important strategies for future land-based...
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