Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 763–782, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-763-2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 763–782, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-763-2021

Research article 30 Jun 2021

Research article | 30 Jun 2021

Bookkeeping estimates of the net land-use change flux – a sensitivity study with the CMIP6 land-use dataset

Kerstin Hartung et al.

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Latest update: 27 Oct 2021
Short summary
In this study, we model the relative importance of several contributors to the land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) flux based on a LULCC dataset including uncertainty estimates. The uncertainty of LULCC is as relevant as applying wood harvest and gross transitions for the cumulative LULCC flux over the industrial period. However, LULCC uncertainty matters less than the other two factors for the LULCC flux in 2014; historical LULCC uncertainty is negligible for estimates of future scenarios.
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