Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 457–468, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 457–468, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-457-2021

Research article 03 May 2021

Research article | 03 May 2021

Weather extremes over Europe under 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming from HAPPI regional climate ensemble simulations

Kevin Sieck et al.

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This paper presents new estimates of future extreme weather in Europe, including extreme heat, extreme rainfall and meteorological drought. These new estimates were achieved by repeating model calculations many times, thereby reducing uncertainties of these rare events at low levels of global warming at 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial temperature levels. These results are important, as they help to assess which weather extremes could increase at moderate warming levels and where.
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