Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-17-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-17-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
17 Jan 2020
Research article |
| 17 Jan 2020
| 17 Jan 2020
Tropical and mid-latitude teleconnections interacting with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a theory-guided causal effect network approach
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University of Amsterdam,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Marlene Kretschmer
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
currently at: Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Reik V. Donner
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Department of Water, Environment, Construction and Safety, Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences, Magdeburg, Germany
Bart van den Hurk
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University of Amsterdam,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands
Ramesh Vellore
Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute for Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Raghavan Krishnan
Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute for Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Dim Coumou
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University of Amsterdam,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
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- A comparison of two causal methods in the context of climate analyses D. Docquier et al.
- Interconnection between the Indian and the East Asian summer monsoon: Spatial synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events S. Gupta et al.
- The Many Shades of the Vegetation–Climate Causality: A Multimodel Causal Appreciation Y. Shao et al.
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40 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements A. Högner et al.
- A review of synchronization of extreme precipitation events in monsoons from complex network perspective K. Cheung et al.
- Dominant patterns of interaction between the tropics and mid-latitudes in boreal summer: causal relationships and the role of timescales G. Di Capua et al.
- Forecasting extreme precipitation in the central Mediterranean: Changes in predictors' strength with prediction lead time N. Mastrantonas et al.
- Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review N. Wunderling et al.
- Unveiling amplified isolation in climate networks due to global warming Y. Cheng et al.
- Spatio-temporal evolution of compound hot and dry extremes synchronizations in Europe D. Giaquinto et al.
- Tropical and mid-latitude causal drivers of the eastern Mediterranean Etesians during boreal summer G. Di Capua et al.
- Causal mechanisms of subpolar gyre variability in CMIP6 models S. Falkena et al.
- Causal inference for time series J. Runge et al.
- Propagation pathways of Indo-Pacific rainfall extremes are modulated by Pacific sea surface temperatures F. Strnad et al.
- Spatiotemporal patterns of synchronous heavy rainfall events in East Asia during the Baiu season F. Wolf et al.
- On the role of the Atlantic Meridional Mode in eastern European temperature variability V. Hari et al.
- Structure of the Western Tibetan Vortex inconsistent with a thermally-direct circulation X. Li et al.
- Anthropogenically-forced weakening of the Indian summer monsoon and enhancement of the western North Pacific tropical cyclogenesis A. Sagar et al.
- Validation of boreal summer tropical–extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts G. Di Capua et al.
- Assessing causal dependencies in climatic indices R. Silini et al.
- Causal relationships and predictability of the summer East Atlantic teleconnection J. Carvalho-Oliveira et al.
- Impact of Long‐Distance Interaction Indicator (Monsoon Indices) on Spatio‐Temporal Variability of Precipitation Over the Mahanadi River Basin R. Sahu et al.
- Evaluation of Temperature and Precipitation Since 4.3 ka Using Palynological Data from Kundala Lake Sediments, Kerala, India A. Farooqui & S. Khan
- Precipitation prediction over the upper Indus Basin from large-scale circulation patterns using Gaussian processes K. Tazi et al.
- Why the droughts of the Indian summer monsoon are more severe than the floods S. Vishnu et al.
- Summer Greenland Blocking in reanalysis and in SEAS5.1 seasonal forecasts: robust trend or natural variability? J. Beckmann et al.
- What do large‐scale patterns teach us about extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean at medium‐ and extended‐range forecasts? N. Mastrantonas et al.
- A new insight into monsoon intraseasonal variability as revealed from distinct wind-precipitation regimes over the southwest coast of India K. Prajwal et al.
- Impacts of compound hot–dry extremes on US soybean yields R. Hamed et al.
- Summertime Rossby waves in climate models: substantial biases in surface imprint associated with small biases in upper-level circulation F. Luo et al.
- Drivers behind the summer 2010 wave train leading to Russian heatwave and Pakistan flooding G. Di Capua et al.
- The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP) I. Richter et al.
- Drivers and mechanisms of heatwaves in South West India G. Dalal et al.
- A comparison of two causal methods in the context of climate analyses D. Docquier et al.
- Interconnection between the Indian and the East Asian summer monsoon: Spatial synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events S. Gupta et al.
- The Many Shades of the Vegetation–Climate Causality: A Multimodel Causal Appreciation Y. Shao et al.
- Subseasonal Great Plains Rainfall via Remote Extratropical Teleconnections: Regional Application of Theory‐Guided Causal Networks K. Malloy & B. Kirtman
- Causal dependencies and Shannon entropy budget: Analysis of a reduced‐order atmospheric model S. Vannitsem et al.
- Towards Understanding the weekly rainfall variability over India in June 2022 S. Mandke & S. Vaisakh
- Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection J. Beverley et al.
- Dynamical Dependencies at Monthly and Interannual Time Scales in the Climate System: Study of the North Pacific and Atlantic Regions S. Vannitsem & X. Liang
- Using a causal effect network approach to quantify the impact of ENSO teleconnections on summer monsoon precipitation over the Himalayas and key regional circulations G. Muszynski et al.
- Nonlinear causal dependencies as a signature of the complexity of the climate dynamics S. Vannitsem et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 29 Apr 2026
Short summary
Drivers from both the mid-latitudes and the tropical regions have been proposed to influence the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) subseasonal variability. To understand the relative importance of tropical and mid-latitude drivers, we apply recently developed causal discovery techniques to disentangle the causal relationships among these processes. Our results show that there is indeed a two-way interaction between the mid-latitude circulation and ISM rainfall over central India.
Drivers from both the mid-latitudes and the tropical regions have been proposed to influence the...
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