Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-17-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-17-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
17 Jan 2020
Research article |
| 17 Jan 2020
| 17 Jan 2020
Tropical and mid-latitude teleconnections interacting with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a theory-guided causal effect network approach
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University of Amsterdam,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Marlene Kretschmer
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
currently at: Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Reik V. Donner
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Department of Water, Environment, Construction and Safety, Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences, Magdeburg, Germany
Bart van den Hurk
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University of Amsterdam,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands
Ramesh Vellore
Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute for Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Raghavan Krishnan
Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute for Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Dim Coumou
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University of Amsterdam,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
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Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 25 Oct 2026
Short summary
Drivers from both the mid-latitudes and the tropical regions have been proposed to influence the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) subseasonal variability. To understand the relative importance of tropical and mid-latitude drivers, we apply recently developed causal discovery techniques to disentangle the causal relationships among these processes. Our results show that there is indeed a two-way interaction between the mid-latitude circulation and ISM rainfall over central India.
Drivers from both the mid-latitudes and the tropical regions have been proposed to influence the...
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