ESD Reviews: Thermodynamic optimality in Earth sciences. The missing constraints in modeling Earth system dynamics?

Abstract. Thermodynamic optimality principles have been often used in Earth sciences to estimate model parameters or fluxes. Applications range from optimizing atmospheric meridional heat fluxes to sediment transport and from optimizing spatial flow patterns to dispersion coefficients for fresh and salt water mixing. However, it is not always clear what has to be optimized and how. In this paper we aimed to clarify terminology used in the literature and to infer how these principles have been used and when they give proper predictions of observed fluxes and states.

We distinguish roughly four classes of applications: predictions using a flux-gradient feedback, predictions using a constant thermodynamic potential boundary conditions, predictions based on information theoretical approaches and comparative studies quantifying entropy production rates from observations at different sites. Here we mainly focus on the flux-gradient feedback, since it results in clear physical limits of energy conversion rates occurring in the Earth system and its subsystems. We show that within the flux-gradient feedback application, maximum entropy production is in many cases equivalent to maximum power and maximum energy dissipation. We advocate the maximum power principle above the more widely used maximum entropy production principle because entropy can be produced by all kinds of fluxes, but only optimized fluxes performing work coincided with observations. Furthermore, the maximum power principle links to the maximum amount of free energy that can be converted into another form of energy. This clearly separates the well defined physical conversion limit from the hypothesis that a system evolves to that limit of maximum power. Although attempts have been made to fundamentally explain why a system would evolve to such a maximum in power, there is still no consensus. Nevertheless, we think that when the maximum power approach is correctly and consistently used, the positive (or negative) results will speak for themselves.

We end this review with some open research questions that may guide further research in this area.