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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">ESDD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Earth System Dynamics Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">ESDD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2190-4995</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/esd-2020-16</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>ESD Reviews: mechanisms, evidence, and impacts of climate tipping elements</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Seaver</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hausfather</surname>
<given-names>Zeke</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>The Breakthrough Institute, Oakland, 94612, United States</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2020</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>93</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2020 Seaver Wang</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2020</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2020-16/">This article is available from https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2020-16/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2020-16/esd-2020-16.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2020-16/esd-2020-16.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>&lt;p&gt;Increasing attention is focusing upon &lt;q&gt;climate tipping elements&lt;/q&gt; &amp;ndash; large-scale earth systems anticipated to respond through positive feedbacks to anthropogenic climate change by shifting towards new long-term states. In some but not all cases, such changes could produce additional greenhouse gas emissions or radiative forcing that could compound global warming. Developing greater understanding of tipping elements is important for predicting future climate risks. Here we review mechanisms, predictions, impacts, and knowledge gaps associated with ten notable climate tipping elements. We also evaluate which tipping elements are more imminent and whether shifts will likely manifest rapidly or over longer timescales. Some tipping elements are significant to future global climate and will likely affect major ecosystems, climate patterns, and/or carbon cycling within the current century. However, assessments under different emissions scenarios indicate a strong potential to reduce or avoid impacts associated with many tipping elements through climate change mitigation. Most tipping elements do not possess the potential for abrupt future change within years, and some tipping elements are perhaps more accurately termed climate feedbacks. Nevertheless, significant uncertainties remain associated with many tipping elements, highlighting an acute need for further research and modeling to better constrain risks.&lt;/p&gt;</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="93"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
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