@Article{esd-16-1267-2025,
AUTHOR = {Pereira, L. M. and Smith, S. R. and Gifford, L. and Newell, P. and Villasante, S. and Achieng, T. and Castro, A. and Constantino, S. M. and Powell, T. and Ghadiali, A. and Smith, B. and Vogel, C. and Zimm, C.},
TITLE = {Beyond tipping points: risks, equity, and the ethics of intervention},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {1267--1285},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1267/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-1267-2025}
}

@Article{esd-15-341-2024,
AUTHOR = {Pereira, L. M. and Gianelli, I. and Achieng, T. and Amon, D. and Archibald, S. and Arif, S. and Castro, A. and Chimbadzwa, T. P. and Coetzer, K. and Field, T.-L. and Selomane, O. and Sitas, N. and Stevens, N. and Villasante, S. and Armani, M. and Kimuyu, D. M. and Adewumi, I. J. and Lapola, D. M. and Obura, D. and Pinho, P. and Roa-Clavijo, F. and Rocha, J. and Sumaila, U. R.},
TITLE = {Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {2},
PAGES = {341--366},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/341/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-341-2024}
}

@Article{esd-14-1171-2023,
AUTHOR = {Laybourn, L. and Evans, J. and Dyke, J.},
TITLE = {Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {14},
YEAR = {2023},
NUMBER = {6},
PAGES = {1171--1182},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/14/1171/2023/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-14-1171-2023}
}

@Article{esd-16-565-2025,
AUTHOR = {Deutloff, J. and Held, H. and Lenton, T. M.},
TITLE = {High probability of triggering climate tipping points under current policies modestly amplified by Amazon dieback and permafrost thaw},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {2},
PAGES = {565--583},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/565/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-565-2025}
}

@Article{esd-15-1179-2024,
AUTHOR = {Spaiser, V. and Juhola, S. and Constantino, S. M. and Guo, W. and Watson, T. and Sillmann, J. and Craparo, A. and Basel, A. and Bruun, J. T. and Krishnamurthy, K. and Scheffran, J. and Pinho, P. and Okpara, U. T. and Donges, J. F. and Bhowmik, A. and Yasseri, T. and Safra de Campos, R. and Cumming, G. S. and Chenet, H. and Krampe, F. and Abrams, J. F. and Dyke, J. G. and Rynders, S. and Aksenov, Y. and Spears, B. M.},
TITLE = {Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system
destabilization},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {5},
PAGES = {1179--1206},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1179/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024}
}

@Article{esd-15-947-2024,
AUTHOR = {Farahbakhsh, I. and Bauch, C. T. and Anand, M.},
TITLE = {Tipping points in coupled human–environment system models: a review},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {947--967},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/947/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-947-2024}
}

@Article{esd-15-1543-2024,
AUTHOR = {Singh, C. and van der Ent, R. and Fetzer, I. and Wang-Erlandsson, L.},
TITLE = {Multi-fold increase in rainforest tipping risk beyond 1.5--2\,{\degree}C warming},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {6},
PAGES = {1543--1565},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1543/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-1543-2024}
}

@Article{esd-15-635-2024,
AUTHOR = {Klose, A. K. and Donges, J. F. and Feudel, U. and Winkelmann, R.},
TITLE = {Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {3},
PAGES = {635--652},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/635/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-635-2024}
}

@Article{egusphere-2023-1533,
AUTHOR = {Gaupp, F. and Constantino, S. and Pereira, L.},
TITLE = {The role of agency in social tipping processes},
JOURNAL = {EGUsphere},
VOLUME = {2023},
YEAR = {2023},
PAGES = {1--27},
URL = {https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-1533/},
DOI = {10.5194/egusphere-2023-1533}
}

@Article{esd-15-41-2024,
AUTHOR = {Wunderling, N. and von der Heydt, A. S. and Aksenov, Y. and Barker, S. and Bastiaansen, R. and Brovkin, V. and Brunetti, M. and Couplet, V. and Kleinen, T. and Lear, C. H. and Lohmann, J. and Roman-Cuesta, R. M. and Sinet, S. and Swingedouw, D. and Winkelmann, R. and Anand, P. and Barichivich, J. and Bathiany, S. and Baudena, M. and Bruun, J. T. and Chiessi, C. M. and Coxall, H. K. and Docquier, D. and Donges, J. F. and Falkena, S. K. J. and Klose, A. K. and Obura, D. and Rocha, J. and Rynders, S. and Steinert, N. J. and Willeit, M.},
TITLE = {Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {1},
PAGES = {41--74},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/41/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-41-2024}
}

@Article{esd-16-545-2025,
AUTHOR = {Smith, E. K. and Wiedermann, M. and Donges, J. F. and Heitzig, J. and Winkelmann, R.},
TITLE = {A global threshold model of enabling conditions for social tipping in pro-environmental behaviours -- the role of sea level rise anticipation and climate change concern},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {2},
PAGES = {545--564},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/545/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-545-2025}
}

@Article{egusphere-2023-1674,
AUTHOR = {Smith, S. R.},
TITLE = {Enabling a political tipping point for rapid decarbonisation in the United Kingdom},
JOURNAL = {EGUsphere},
VOLUME = {2023},
YEAR = {2023},
PAGES = {1--21},
URL = {https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-1674/},
DOI = {10.5194/egusphere-2023-1674}
}

@Article{esd-15-653-2024,
AUTHOR = {Hessen, D. O. and Andersen, T. and Armstrong McKay, D. and Kosten, S. and Meerhoff, M. and Pickard, A. and Spears, B. M.},
TITLE = {Lake ecosystem tipping points and climate feedbacks},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {3},
PAGES = {653--669},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/653/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-653-2024}
}

@Article{esd-15-969-2024,
AUTHOR = {Nadeau, C. and Milkoreit, M. and Eriksen, T. H. and Hessen, D. O.},
TITLE = {Missing the (tipping) point: the effect of information about climate tipping
points on public risk perceptions in Norway},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {969--985},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/969/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-969-2024}
}

@Article{esd-15-671-2024,
AUTHOR = {Cornwall, C. E. and Comeau, S. and Harvey, B. P.},
TITLE = {Are physiological and ecosystem-level tipping points caused by ocean
acidification? A critical evaluation},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {3},
PAGES = {671--687},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/671/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-671-2024}
}

@Article{esd-16-333-2025,
AUTHOR = {Ameli, N. and Chenet, H. and Falkenberg, M. and Kothari, S. and Rickman, J. and Lamperti, F.},
TITLE = {Driving sustainability transitions through financial tipping points},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {1},
PAGES = {333--345},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/333/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-333-2025}
}

@Article{esd-15-485-2024,
AUTHOR = {Alkemade, F. and de Bruin, B. and El-Feiaz, A. and Pasimeni, F. and Niamir, L. and Wade, R.},
TITLE = {Social tipping dynamics in the energy system},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {2},
PAGES = {485--500},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/485/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-485-2024}
}

@Article{esd-16-939-2025,
AUTHOR = {Futerman, G. and Adhikari, M. and Duffey, A. and Fan, Y. and Gurevitch, J. and Irvine, P. and Wieners, C.},
TITLE = {The interaction of solar radiation modification with Earth system tipping elements},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {939--978},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/939/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-939-2025}
}

@Article{esd-16-1197-2025,
AUTHOR = {Scheffran, J. and Guo, W. and Krampe, F. and Okpara, U.},
TITLE = {Tipping cascades between conflict and cooperation in climate change},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {1197--1219},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1197/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-1197-2025}
}

@Article{esd-15-1117-2024,
AUTHOR = {Dakos, V. and Boulton, C. A. and Buxton, J. E. and Abrams, J. F. and Arellano-Nava, B. and Armstrong McKay, D. I. and Bathiany, S. and Blaschke, L. and Boers, N. and Dylewsky, D. and L\'opez-Mart\'{\i}nez, C. and Parry, I. and Ritchie, P. and van der Bolt, B. and van der Laan, L. and Weinans, E. and K\'efi, S.},
TITLE = {Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {1117--1135},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1117/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024}
}

@Article{esd-15-1483-2024,
AUTHOR = {Williamson, M. S. and Lenton, T. M.},
TITLE = {Early warnings of the transition to a superrotating atmospheric state},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {6},
PAGES = {1483--1508},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1483/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-1483-2024}
}

@Article{esd-16-411-2025,
AUTHOR = {Boulton, C. A. and Buxton, J. E. and Lenton, T. M.},
TITLE = {Early opportunity signals of a tipping point in the UK's second-hand electric vehicle market},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {2},
PAGES = {411--421},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/411/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-411-2025}
}

@Article{esd-16-189-2025,
AUTHOR = {Everall, J. P. and Tschofenig, F. and Donges, J. F. and Otto, I. M.},
TITLE = {The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {1},
PAGES = {189--214},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/189/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-189-2025}
}

@Article{esd-16-1865-2025,
AUTHOR = {Blomsma, F. and Ong, M. K.-C. F. and Lenton, T. M.},
TITLE = {``History in a bottle'': tipping dynamics in packaging systems -- the case of
how a bottle reuse system was established and then undone},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {5},
PAGES = {1865--1886},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1865/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-1865-2025}
}

@Article{esd-15-853-2024,
AUTHOR = {T\`abara, J. D.},
TITLE = {ESD Ideas: Positive tipping points towards global regenerative systems},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {853--857},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/853/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-853-2024}
}

@Article{esd-16-1699-2025,
AUTHOR = {Emenyu, A. P. and Pienkowski, T. and Cunliffe, A. M. and Lenton, T. M. and Powell, T. W. R.},
TITLE = {Positive tipping points for accelerating adoption of regenerative practices in African smallholder farming systems: what drives and sustains adoption?},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {5},
PAGES = {1699--1710},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1699/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-1699-2025}
}

@Article{esd-15-789-2024,
AUTHOR = {Eker, S. and Lenton, T. M. and Powell, T. and Scheffran, J. and Smith, S. R. and Swamy, D. and Zimm, C.},
TITLE = {Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {3},
PAGES = {789--800},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/789/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-789-2024}
}

@Article{egusphere-2023-2588,
AUTHOR = {Bhowmik, A. and McCaffrey, M. S. and Kunkel, O.},
TITLE = {The Long Game to mitigate earth system tipping points},
JOURNAL = {EGUsphere},
VOLUME = {2024},
YEAR = {2024},
PAGES = {1--7},
URL = {https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2023-2588/},
DOI = {10.5194/egusphere-2023-2588}
}

@Article{esd-16-1611-2025,
AUTHOR = {Loriani, S. and Aksenov, Y. and Armstrong McKay, D. I. and Bala, G. and Born, A. and Chiessi, C. M. and Dijkstra, H. A. and Donges, J. F. and Drijfhout, S. and England, M. H. and Fedorov, A. V. and Jackson, L. C. and Kornhuber, K. and Messori, G. and Pausata, F. S. R. and Rynders, S. and Sall\'ee, J.-B. and Sinha, B. and Sherwood, S. C. and Swingedouw, D. and Tharammal, T.},
TITLE = {Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {5},
PAGES = {1611--1653},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/1611/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-1611-2025}
}

@Article{esd-16-275-2025,
AUTHOR = {Pearce-Kelly, P. and Altieri, A. H. and Bruno, J. F. and Cornwall, C. E. and McField, M. and Mu\~niz-Castillo, A. I. and Rocha, J. and Setter, R. O. and Sheppard, C. and Roman-Cuesta, R. M. and Yesson, C.},
TITLE = {Considerations for determining warm-water coral reef tipping points},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {16},
YEAR = {2025},
NUMBER = {1},
PAGES = {275--292},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/275/2025/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-16-275-2025}
}

@Article{esd-15-859-2024,
AUTHOR = {Sinet, S. and Ashwin, P. and von der Heydt, A. S. and Dijkstra, H. A.},
TITLE = {AMOC stability amid tipping ice sheets: the crucial role of rate and noise},
JOURNAL = {Earth System Dynamics},
VOLUME = {15},
YEAR = {2024},
NUMBER = {4},
PAGES = {859--873},
URL = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/859/2024/},
DOI = {10.5194/esd-15-859-2024}
}